This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”.
The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Group Futures
· FIFA World Cup
· Soccer
World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance
Ecuador$269 Volume
79%
DR Congo$511 Volume
56%
Scotland$654 Volume
42%
Czechia$544 Volume
39%
Bosnia and Herzegovina$240 Volume
33%
Ivory Coast$421 Volume
32%
Algeria$283 Volume
32%
Senegal$230 Volume
30%
Iran$220 Volume
27%
Sweden$96 Volume
27%
Austria$349 Volume
26%
Ghana$170 Volume
21%
Australia$50 Volume
20%
Egypt20%
Morocco$60 Volume
19%
Türkiye$200 Volume
18%
Cape Verde$307 Volume
17%
Uzbekistan$50 Volume
17%
Tunisia$120 Volume
17%
Norway$100 Volume
16%
Paraguay$332 Volume
16%
Croatia$268 Volume
15%
South Korea$79 Volume
14%
Brazil$3.6K Volume
13%
Netherlands$36 Volume
12%
Colombia12%
New Zealand$402 Volume
11%
Qatar11%
Jordan$90 Volume
11%
Uruguay$20 Volume
11%
Haiti$1 Volume
10%
Canada$526 Volume
10%
United States$1.4K Volume
8%
Saudi Arabia$543 Volume
8%
Japan$55 Volume
7%
Germany$304 Volume
5%
Panama5%
Iraq$180 Volume
4%
South Africa4%
Mexico4%
Curaçao$20 Volume
4%
Portugal$332 Volume
3%
England$100 Volume
2%
Belgium2%
Argentina2%
Switzerland$552 Volume
2%
Spain$2.8K Volume
1%
France$837 Volume
1%
Similar Markets
World Cup Group B Winner
SwitzerlandYes 47¢No 53¢
CanadaYes 37¢No 63¢
World Cup Group C Winner
BrazilYes 60¢No 40¢
MoroccoYes 29¢No 71¢
World Cup Group D Winner
USAYes 72¢No 28¢
AustraliaYes 20¢No 80¢
World Cup Group I Winner
FranceYes 67¢No 33¢
NorwayYes 24¢No 76¢
World Cup Group A Winner
MexicoYes 63¢No 37¢
South KoreaYes 34¢No 66¢
World Cup Group E Winner
GermanyYes 68¢No 32¢
EcuadorYes 23¢No 77¢
World Cup Group F Winner
NetherlandsYes 54¢No 46¢
JapanYes 29¢No 71¢
World Cup Group L Winner
EnglandYes 71¢No 29¢
CroatiaYes 22¢No 78¢
