First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Peru
Politics
Elections
Global Elections
Peru Election
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$5M
Time Remaining
Resolved
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$2.1M Volume
89%
Rafael López Aliaga
$1.6M Volume
9%
Jorge Nieto
$343.1K Volume
1%
Mario Vizcarra
$29.2K Volume
1%
Alfonso López Chau
$100.1K Volume
1%
José Luna
$22K Volume
1%
Enrique Valderrama
$20.4K Volume
1%
Carlos Espá
$26.5K Volume
1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$18.8K Volume
1%
Mesías Guevara
$22.8K Volume
1%
George Forsyth
$22.4K Volume
1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$21.4K Volume
1%
César Acuña
$23K Volume
1%
José Williams
$22.9K Volume
1%
Ricardo Belmont
$215.6K Volume
1%
Keiko Fujimori
$199.8K Volume
1%
Carlos Álvarez
$71.8K Volume
1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$22.3K Volume
1%
Roberto Chiabra
$21.9K Volume
1%
Fernando Olivera
$22.6K Volume
1%
Yonhy Lescano
$31.7K Volume
1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$22.6K Volume
1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$22.2K Volume
1%
Other
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Candidate M
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The Peru Presidential Election First Round prediction market is currently showing a 0.1% probability for the candidate finishing in second place, reflecting a low expectation for this outcome among traders. With a trading volume of $4.9 million, this market highlights the competitive landscape leading up to the elections scheduled for April 12, 2026, where a second round may occur on June 7, 2026, if no candidate secures a majority. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for investors and political analysts as they assess the evolving electoral strategies and potential shifts in voter sentiment in Peru.