First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Peru
· Politics
· Elections
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Roberto Sánchez Palomino
$2.7M Volume
99%
Mesías Guevara
$22.8K Volume
6%
Alfonso López Chau
$101.2K Volume
4%
George Forsyth
$22.4K Volume
1%
Vladimir Cerrón
$22.3K Volume
1%
Yonhy Lescano
$31.7K Volume
1%
César Acuña
$23K Volume
1%
Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
$18.8K Volume
1%
Carlos Álvarez
$95.2K Volume
1%
Wolfgang Grozo
$22.3K Volume
1%
José Luna
$23K Volume
1%
Enrique Valderrama
$20.4K Volume
1%
Rafael López Aliaga
$2M Volume
1%
José Williams
$22.9K Volume
1%
Marisol Pérez Tello
$22.6K Volume
1%
Carlos Espá
$26.5K Volume
1%
Fiorella Molinelli
$21.4K Volume
1%
Ricardo Belmont
$216.7K Volume
1%
Roberto Chiabra
$21.9K Volume
1%
Fernando Olivera
$22.6K Volume
1%
Mario Vizcarra
$31.2K Volume
1%
Jorge Nieto
$440.3K Volume
1%
Keiko Fujimori
$415.9K Volume
1%
Other
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Candidate M
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The Peru Presidential Election First Round prediction market is currently showing a 0.1% probability for the candidate finishing in second place, reflecting a low expectation for this outcome among traders. With a trading volume of $4.9 million, this market highlights the competitive landscape leading up to the elections scheduled for April 12, 2026, where a second round may occur on June 7, 2026, if no candidate secures a majority. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for investors and political analysts as they assess the evolving electoral strategies and potential shifts in voter sentiment in Peru.
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