This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.
A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI IPO
· Big Tech
· IPO
OpenAI files IPO by...?
May 26
$1.5K Volume
3%
May 29
$3.1K Volume
6%
June 5
$4.3K Volume
23%
Resolved 1
May 22
$50.5K Volume
No
About This Market
Similar Markets
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$900B
Yes 92¢No 8¢
↑$1.0T
Yes 87¢No 13¢
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceXYes 81¢No 19¢
AnthropicYes 13¢No 87¢
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
Yes 73¢No 27¢
September 30, 2026
Yes 21¢No 79¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by June 30?
↑$850B
Yes 91¢No 9¢
↑$875B
Yes 79¢No 21¢
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
Yes 27¢No 73¢
1.5T+
Yes 24¢No 76¢
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.25T–1.5T
Yes 32¢No 68¢
1.5T+
Yes 31¢No 69¢
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
Goldman SachsYes 60¢No 40¢
UBSYes 12¢No 88¢
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
$70B–$80B
Yes 21¢No 79¢
$80B–$90B
Yes 17¢No 83¢
