This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Weather
· Daily Temperature
· Hong Kong
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 23?
29°C
$199.5K Volume
99%
28°C
$138.8K Volume
1%
21°C or below
$26.8K Volume
1%
22°C
$8.5K Volume
1%
23°C
$12.5K Volume
1%
24°C
$16K Volume
1%
25°C
$48.8K Volume
1%
26°C
$54.7K Volume
1%
27°C
$70.5K Volume
1%
30°C
$47.2K Volume
1%
31°C or higher
$18.7K Volume
1%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 23, 2026, currently reflects a low probability of 0.2%, with a trading volume of $108,000. This market offers participants a unique opportunity to speculate on weather patterns, which can have significant implications for local businesses and tourism. Understanding temperature trends in Hong Kong is crucial for planning events and managing resources effectively, making this market a valuable tool for stakeholders.
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