This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Weather
· Daily Temperature
· Hong Kong
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 24?
23°C
$66.1K Volume
99%
24°C
$38.1K Volume
1%
28°C or higher
$34.2K Volume
1%
18°C or below
$8.4K Volume
1%
19°C
$12.4K Volume
1%
20°C
$21.8K Volume
1%
21°C
$78.2K Volume
1%
22°C
$177.7K Volume
1%
25°C
$28.2K Volume
1%
26°C
$27.1K Volume
1%
27°C
$39.4K Volume
1%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 24, 2026, currently shows a low probability of 0.1%, reflecting cautious trading sentiment with a volume of $71,000. This market is significant as it allows participants to speculate on weather extremes, offering insights into climate patterns and potential impacts on local industries. As the date approaches, fluctuations in trading activity may provide valuable data for understanding public perceptions of climate variability in the region.