Grok 5 released by...?

Volume $139.8K
Liquidity $2.9K
Ends 30/06/2026 00:00
Tech Elon Musk AI Grok
Yes Probability
50%
No Probability
50%
Trading Volume
$139.8K
Time Remaining
70 days left
June 30, 2026
$30.6K Volume
10%
2 Options resolved

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 5 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 5 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 5 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 5 (e.g. Grok 5.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4 similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 4.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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