This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Big Tech
AI
OpenAI
Grok
Tech
Yes Probability
50%
No Probability
50%
Trading Volume
$17.5K
Time Remaining
69 days left
Anthropic
$7.5K Volume
48%
Google
$3.4K Volume
23%
OpenAI
$32.1K Volume
8%
DeepSeek
$246.5K Volume
6%
xAI
$12.3K Volume
3%
Alibaba
$4K Volume
1%
Z.ai
$6.1K Volume
1%
Moonshot
$3.3K Volume
1%
Meituan
$32.4K Volume
1%
Meta
$1.1K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$927 Volume
1%
Baidu
$606 Volume
1%
Mistral
$1.8K Volume
1%
Microsoft
$929 Volume
1%
Amazon
$1.2K Volume
1%
Company F
50%
Company H
50%
Company G
50%
Other
50%