This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
COMEX Gold Futures
· Commodities
· Finance
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?
↓ $4,300
$80.5K Volume
79%
↓ $4,200
$360.2K Volume
40%
↑ $4,800
$23K Volume
8%
↑ $4,900
$69.7K Volume
3%
↓ $3,800
$140.3K Volume
3%
↑ $5,000
$73.4K Volume
2%
↑ $5,300
$67.7K Volume
1%
↑ $5,100
$43.2K Volume
1%
↑ $5,200
$27.3K Volume
1%
↑ $6,000
$366.1K Volume
1%
↑ $5,500
$1.3M Volume
1%
↓ $3,400
$391.3K Volume
1%
↑ $5,400
$57.7K Volume
1%
↑ $5,700
$111.7K Volume
1%
↑ $6,200
$125.2K Volume
1%
↑ $8,000
$395.6K Volume
1%
↑ $7,000
$621.6K Volume
1%
↑ $6,500
$307.9K Volume
1%
↑ $8,500
$419.7K Volume
1%
↑ $9,000
$137.8K Volume
1%
↑ $10,000
$326.9K Volume
1%
Resolved 10
↑ $5,000
$41.7K Volume
Yes
↓ $5,000
$3.1K Volume
Yes
↓ $4,800
$3.1K Volume
Yes
↓ $4,600
$3.2K Volume
Yes
↓ $4,400
$1.8K Volume
Yes
↓ $4,500
$61.6K Volume
Yes
↓ $4,700
$78K Volume
Yes
↓ $4,600
$45K Volume
Yes
↓ $4,400
$53.8K Volume
Yes
↓ $4,600
$4.7K Volume
Yes
About This Market
Resolution Source: www.cmegroup.com
AI Analysis
The prediction market for Gold (GC) futures is currently showing a 1.5% probability that the price will hit the specified threshold by the end of June, with a robust trading volume of $4.0 million. This market allows traders to speculate on future gold prices, reflecting broader economic sentiments and potential market volatility. Understanding these probabilities is crucial for investors as they navigate the complexities of commodity trading and assess potential investment strategies in the precious metals sector.
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