This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website โ specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Commodities
NYMEX Crude Oil Futures
Oil
Yes Probability
99%
No Probability
1%
Trading Volume
$1.5M
Time Remaining
71 days left
โ $80
$121.5K Volume
75%
โ $115
$387.2K Volume
39%
โ $70
$152.6K Volume
41%
โ $120
$389.4K Volume
30%
โ $130
$256.3K Volume
21%
โ $140
$389.7K Volume
16%
โ $60
$142.9K Volume
16%
โ $150
$1.4M Volume
12%
โ $55
$85K Volume
9%
โ $175
$776.6K Volume
6%
โ $52
$69K Volume
5%
โ $200
$2.6M Volume
5%
โ $50
$102.8K Volume
3%
โ $45
$39.9K Volume
2%
โ $40
$93.5K Volume
1%
โ $47
$18.9K Volume
2%
โ $35
$24.4K Volume
1%
12 Options resolved
About This Market
Resolution Source: www.cmegroup.com
AI Analysis
The prediction market on whether Crude Oil (CL) will reach a specified price by the end of June currently shows a striking 99.9% probability, reflecting strong trader confidence amid heightened demand and geopolitical factors influencing oil prices. With a trading volume of $11.2 million, this market highlights the significant interest and speculation surrounding crude oil futures, making it a critical indicator for investors and analysts monitoring energy market trends. Understanding these dynamics is essential for making informed decisions in the volatile oil sector.