This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 24 12:00 PM ET to May 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?
Politics
Tweet Markets
Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Culture
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$4.4M
Time Remaining
10 days left
240-259
$7K Volume
16%
260-279
$4K Volume
14%
220-239
$4.8K Volume
13%
280-299
$4K Volume
12%
200-219
$6.2K Volume
9%
300-319
$3.6K Volume
8%
180-199
$8.7K Volume
7%
320-339
$2.9K Volume
5%
160-179
$9.5K Volume
3%
340-359
$3.4K Volume
3%
360-379
$4.9K Volume
2%
140-159
$11.3K Volume
2%
380-399
$5.1K Volume
1%
400-419
$3.6K Volume
1%
420-439
$3.9K Volume
1%
440-459
$7.2K Volume
1%
120-139
$10.5K Volume
1%
480-499
$8.5K Volume
1%
460-479
$5.7K Volume
1%
40-59
$20.5K Volume
1%
80-99
$54K Volume
1%
100-119
$40.8K Volume
1%
500-519
$11.5K Volume
1%
520-539
$65.9K Volume
1%
540-559
$43.1K Volume
1%
<20
$44K Volume
1%
20-39
$14.1K Volume
1%
60-79
$17.9K Volume
1%
560-579
$55.7K Volume
1%
580+
$58.1K Volume
1%
About This Market
Resolution Source: x.com
AI Analysis
The prediction market focused on the number of tweets by Elon Musk from April 24 to May 1, 2026, currently shows a low probability of 0.1%, with a trading volume of $219K. This market allows participants to speculate on Musk's social media activity, which is significant given his influence on technology and finance. Understanding the dynamics of this market can provide insights into public sentiment and engagement trends surrounding high-profile figures like Musk.