Trump Presidency · Trump · Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

$49.6M Volume

30/04/2026 00:00

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May 13

50%

May 14

50%

Resolved 7

October 31, 2025

$549.4K Volume

March 31, 2026

$10.4M Volume

May 31

$7.6M Volume

Yes

June 30

$2.3M Volume

Yes

May 15

$15.1M Volume

Yes

April 30

$12.8M Volume

May 8

$784.1K Volume

About This Market

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

AI Analysis

The prediction market regarding whether former U.S. President Donald Trump will visit China by October 31, 2025, currently shows a balanced probability of 50.0%, reflecting uncertainty about his potential diplomatic engagements. With a trading volume of $25.4 million, this market highlights the significance of U.S.-China relations and the implications of Trump's foreign policy decisions. Investors and analysts alike are closely monitoring this market as it could signal shifts in geopolitical dynamics and trade discussions between the two nations.