This market will resolve according to the model that has the highest arena score (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on the specified date, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this marketโs check time, with alphabetical order of model names as listed in this market group (full string, including suffixes such as โ-thinkingโ) used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, โclaude-opus-4-6โ would be ranked ahead of โclaude-opus-4-6-thinkingโ). This market will resolve based on the model that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Top AI model on April 24? (Style Control On)
Tech
AI
Big Tech
Top AI model
Rewards 50, 4.5, 20
Yes Probability
45%
No Probability
55%
Trading Volume
$336
Time Remaining
2 days left
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
$17 Volume
22%
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
$5 Volume
5%
Other
$6 Volume
9%
muse-spark
$156 Volume
1%
claude-opus-4-7
$145 Volume
1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
$93 Volume
1%
grok-4.20-beta1
$93 Volume
1%
gemini-3-pro
$93 Volume
1%
claude-opus-4-6
$191 Volume
1%