Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Government shutdown by October 1?

是 is priced at 10% and 否 at 91%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Government shutdown by October 1?

Traders currently imply a 10% chance for 是. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Government shutdown by October 1 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 2 Oct 2026 (还剩 39 天). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Government shutdown by October 1?

Total traded volume on this market is $7,131, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Government shutdown by October 1 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

Government shutdown by October 1?

是