This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Music
· Awards
· Culture
Eurovision Winner 2026
Bulgaria
$6.7M Volume
99%
Norway
$6.1M Volume
1%
Ukraine
$3.9M Volume
1%
Albania
$8M Volume
1%
Austria
$8.1M Volume
1%
Belgium
$5.4M Volume
1%
Croatia
$5.7M Volume
1%
Czechia
$3.5M Volume
1%
Estonia
$6.3M Volume
1%
France
$4.3M Volume
1%
Germany
$4.6M Volume
1%
Israel
$5.4M Volume
1%
Latvia
$6.1M Volume
1%
Luxembourg
$4M Volume
1%
Moldova
$5.4M Volume
1%
Portugal
$5.7M Volume
1%
San Marino
$5.9M Volume
1%
Sweden
$3.2M Volume
1%
Armenia
$6.7M Volume
1%
Australia
$4.6M Volume
1%
Azerbaijan
$6.8M Volume
1%
Cyprus
$4.3M Volume
1%
Denmark
$3.5M Volume
1%
Finland
$6.6M Volume
1%
Georgia
$6.2M Volume
1%
Greece
$4.9M Volume
1%
Italy
$4.9M Volume
1%
Lithuania
$6.1M Volume
1%
Malta
$4.4M Volume
1%
Montenegro
$6.6M Volume
1%
Poland
$8.4M Volume
1%
Romania
$4.2M Volume
1%
Serbia
$6.7M Volume
1%
Switzerland
$5.8M Volume
1%
United Kingdom
$4.8M Volume
1%
Country C
50%
Country E
50%
Country G
50%
Country I
50%
Country K
50%
Country M
50%
Country O
50%
Country B
50%
Country D
50%
Country F
50%
Country H
50%
Country J
50%
Country L
50%
Country N
50%
Other
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The Eurovision Winner 2026 prediction market currently reflects a probability of just 0.3% for the leading candidate, amidst a robust trading volume of $100.5 million. This market allows participants to speculate on which country's representative will triumph in the iconic music competition, making it a significant barometer for public sentiment and potential shifts in national popularity leading up to the event. Understanding these dynamics can provide insights into cultural trends and the evolving landscape of Eurovision, highlighting the importance of early engagement in this competitive arena.
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