This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Eurovision 2026: First Semi-Final
Eurovision
Music
Culture
Yes Probability
92%
No Probability
8%
Trading Volume
$495.5K
Time Remaining
20 days left
Finland
$335.3K Volume
98%
Greece
$5.1K Volume
97%
Sweden
$4.1K Volume
97%
Israel
$19.7K Volume
90%
Moldova
$19K Volume
87%
Croatia
$8.7K Volume
76%
Serbia
$6.4K Volume
76%
Lithuania
$3.6K Volume
62%
Montenegro
$7.8K Volume
51%
Poland
$9.1K Volume
43%
Georgia
$5.2K Volume
44%
Portugal
$35K Volume
37%
Estonia
$17.2K Volume
37%
Belgium
$10.2K Volume
29%
San Marino
$9K Volume
16%