Pasar Prediksi Trump

Pasar prediksi Trump adalah salah satu yang paling aktif di Polymarket: masa jabatan, proses hukum, kebijakan luar negeri (Ukraina, China, Timur Tengah), kebijakan domestik, dan persetujuan umum. Volume melebihi ratusan juta dolar.

Pasar ini bereaksi kuat terhadap setiap pernyataan besar, melalui Truth Social, wawancara, atau pengumuman Gedung Putih. Liputan berita waktu nyata menciptakan peluang perdagangan.

41 pasar aktif
Urutkan
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
17%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$9,8 jt Volume 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%YaTidak
August 25August 2599%YaTidak
$2,6 jt Volume 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%YaTidak
October 3153%YaTidak
$19,3 jt Volume 01/01
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
March 31, 202765%YaTidak
December 31, 202652%YaTidak
$106,3 rb Volume 01/04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$87,6 rb Volume 31/12
Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 2027? Akankah rezim Iran jatuh sebelum 2027?
7%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$83,7 rb Volume 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%YaTidak
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%YaTidak
$6,2 jt Volume 01/01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3017%YaTidak
September 159%YaTidak
$671,2 rb Volume 01/10
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$40,6 rb Volume 31/08
Keputusan Fed pada Oktober?Keputusan Fed pada Oktober?
No change72%YaTidak
25 bps increase25%YaTidak
$1,6 jt Volume 28/10
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$274,2 rb Volume 01/09
Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Desember? Akankah Iran setuju menghentikan pengayaan uranium sebelum 31 Desember?
14%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$22,1 rb Volume 31/12
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%YaTidak
October 3115%YaTidak
$5,9 jt Volume 01/01
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3074%YaTidak
Swiss10%YaTidak
$19 rb Volume 30/09
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3044%YaTidak
August 3113%YaTidak
$911,1 rb Volume 01/10
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf42%YaTidak
Jared KushnerJared Kushner39%YaTidak
$17,8 rb Volume 31/12
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3151%YaTidak
ChinaChina46%YaTidak
$16,1 rb Volume 31/12
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings25%YaTidak
Anna KellyAnna Kelly17%YaTidak
$149,2 rb Volume 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$40,6 rb Volume 31/12
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%YaTidak
CATLCATL19%YaTidak
$186,9 rb Volume 30/06
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2495%YaTidak
August 2692%YaTidak
$10 rb Volume 01/09
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%YaTidak
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin47%YaTidak
$11,5 rb Volume 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+87%YaTidak
180-19913%YaTidak
$11,1 rb Volume 2 hari tersisa
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$7,6 rb Volume 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro86%YaTidak
Delcy Rodríguez10%YaTidak
$95,8 jt Volume 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$6,2 rb Volume 31/12
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 3197%YaTidak
October 3196%YaTidak
$738,9 rb Volume 31/12
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+7%YaTidak
40+2%YaTidak
$5,6 rb Volume 31/08
Keputusan Fed pada Desember?Keputusan Fed pada Desember?
No change61%YaTidak
25 bps increase29%YaTidak
$1,6 jt Volume 09/12
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%YaTidak
4914%YaTidak
$2,9 jt Volume 03/11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4 rb Volume 01/01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$260,1 rb Volume 31/12
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God90%YaTidak
Ballroom85%YaTidak
$5,4 rb Volume 7 hari tersisa
Keputusan Fed pada Januari?Keputusan Fed pada Januari?
No change61%YaTidak
25 bps increase22%YaTidak
$1,6 jt Volume 27/01
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil29%YaTidak
John Brennan18%YaTidak
$389 rb Volume
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1023%YaTidak
1220%YaTidak
$10,4 rb Volume 03/11
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Productivity77%YaTidak
Good Morning76%YaTidak
$45,5 rb Volume 5 hari tersisa
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%YaTidak
September 302%YaTidak
$29,1 jt Volume 01/01
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
77%
peluang
Ya Tidak
$4,8 rb Volume Berakhir hari ini
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Green New Scam60%YaTidak
Garbage54%YaTidak
$2,7 rb Volume 31/08
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Illegal / Illegals70%YaTidak
Iran 5+ times63%YaTidak
$2,6 rb Volume 31/08
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FAQ Pasar Trump

Pasar Trump mana yang aktif sekarang?

Persetujuan tahunan, hasil kebijakan tertentu, proses hukum, hasil negosiasi internasional, dan keputusan penunjukan senior.

Apa yang mempengaruhi harga?

Pernyataan Trump (terutama di Truth Social), pengumuman resmi Gedung Putih, putusan pengadilan, dan tindakan Kongres. Reaksi sangat cepat.

Bagaimana cara mengelola risiko di pasar Trump?

Volatilitas tinggi: bangun posisi secara bertahap, hindari konsentrasi berlebihan di satu pasar, dan periksa kedalaman buku pesanan sebelum masuk.

Mulai Pelatihan Polymarket Secara Gratis
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