Trump-voorspellingsmarkten

Trump-voorspellingsmarkten behoren tot de actiefste van Polymarket: ambtstermijn, rechtszaken, buitenlands beleid (Oekraïne, China, Midden-Oosten), binnenlands beleid en algemene goedkeuring. De volumes overschrijden honderden miljoenen dollars.

Deze markten reageren sterk op elke belangrijke uitspraak, via Truth Social, interviews of aankondigingen van het Witte Huis. Realtime nieuwsdekking creëert handelskansen.

41 actieve markten
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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$9,8 mln. Volume 01/01
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
August 22August 2299%JaNee
August 25August 2599%JaNee
$2,6 mln. Volume 30/09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
December 3173%JaNee
October 3153%JaNee
$19,3 mln. Volume 01/01
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
March 31, 202765%JaNee
December 31, 202652%JaNee
$106,3K Volume 01/04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
17%
kans
Ja Nee
$87,6K Volume 31/12
Valt het Iraanse regime vóór 2027? Valt het Iraanse regime vóór 2027?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$83,7K Volume 31/12
Russia nuclear test by...?Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026December 31, 20266%JaNee
September 30, 2026September 30, 20261%JaNee
$6,2 mln. Volume 01/01
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
September 3017%JaNee
September 159%JaNee
$671,2K Volume 01/10
Trump out as President by August 31? Trump out as President by August 31?
1%
kans
Ja Nee
$40,6K Volume 31/08
Fed-besluit in oktober?Fed-besluit in oktober?
No change72%JaNee
25 bps increase25%JaNee
$1,6 mln. Volume 28/10
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?
July 314%
August 314%
$274,2K Volume 01/09
Stemt Iran vóór 31 december in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking? Stemt Iran vóór 31 december in met het stoppen van uraniumverrijking?
14%
kans
Ja Nee
$22,1K Volume 31/12
NATO x Russia military clash by...?NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 3125%JaNee
October 3115%JaNee
$5,9 mln. Volume 01/01
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 3074%JaNee
Zwitserland10%JaNee
$19K Volume 30/09
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
September 3044%JaNee
August 3113%JaNee
$911,1K Volume 01/10
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Mohammad Bagher GhalibafMohammad Bagher Ghalibaf42%JaNee
Jared KushnerJared Kushner39%JaNee
$17,8K Volume 31/12
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31No meeting by December 3151%JaNee
ChinaChina46%JaNee
$16,1K Volume 31/12
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?
Scott JenningsScott Jennings25%JaNee
Anna KellyAnna Kelly17%JaNee
$149,2K Volume 31/12
Trump out as President before 2027? Trump out as President before 2027?
7%
kans
Ja Nee
$40,6K Volume 31/12
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%JaNee
CATLCATL19%JaNee
$186,9K Volume 30/06
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
August 2495%JaNee
August 2692%JaNee
$10K Volume 01/09
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin SalmanMohammed bin Salman77%JaNee
Vladimir PutinVladimir Putin47%JaNee
$11,5K Volume 31/12
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 18 - August 25, 2026?
200+87%JaNee
180-19913%JaNee
$11,1K Volume Nog 2 dagen
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4%
kans
Ja Nee
$7,6K Volume 31/12
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro86%JaNee
Delcy Rodríguez10%JaNee
$95,8 mln. Volume 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87%
kans
Ja Nee
$6,2K Volume 31/12
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 3197%JaNee
October 3196%JaNee
$738,9K Volume 31/12
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?
30+7%JaNee
40+2%JaNee
$5,6K Volume 31/08
Fed-besluit in december?Fed-besluit in december?
No change61%JaNee
25 bps increase29%JaNee
$1,6 mln. Volume 09/12
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤4727%JaNee
4914%JaNee
$2,9 mln. Volume 03/11
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
August 31, 20261%
December 31, 202610%
$4K Volume 01/01
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
6%
kans
Ja Nee
$260,1K Volume 31/12
What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)What will Trump say this week? (August 24 - August 30)
God90%JaNee
Ballroom85%JaNee
$5,4K Volume Nog 7 dagen
Fed-besluit in januari?Fed-besluit in januari?
No change61%JaNee
25 bps increase22%JaNee
$1,6 mln. Volume 27/01
Who will be arrested before 2027?Who will be arrested before 2027?
Mahmoud Khalil29%JaNee
John Brennan18%JaNee
$389K Volume
How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?
1023%JaNee
1220%JaNee
$10,4K Volume 03/11
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Productivity77%JaNee
Good Morning76%JaNee
$45,5K Volume Nog 5 dagen
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 316%JaNee
September 302%JaNee
$29,1 mln. Volume 01/01
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday? US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
77%
kans
Ja Nee
$4,8K Volume Eindigt vandaag
What will Trump say in August?What will Trump say in August?
Green New Scam60%JaNee
Garbage54%JaNee
$2,7K Volume 31/08
What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?What will Karoline Leavitt say during the next White House press briefing?
Illegal / Illegals70%JaNee
Iran 5+ times63%JaNee
$2,6K Volume 31/08
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Uitspraken van Trump (vooral op Truth Social), officiële aankondigingen van het Witte Huis, rechterlijke uitspraken en optreden van het Congres. De reacties zijn zeer snel.

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