Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

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$51.610 Volume
07/11/2026 00:00
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National + ACT + NZF
$7.763 Volume
41%
Labour + Green
$4.863 Volume
28%
Labour + Green + Maori
$5.016 Volume
16%
Other
$12.308 Volume
10%
Labour
$1.502 Volume
3%
Labour + Green + NZF
$1.639 Volume
1%
National + ACT
$2.200 Volume
1%
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF
$1.978 Volume
1%
Labour + Maori
$1.459 Volume
1%
Labour + NZF
$1.414 Volume
1%
Labour + Maori + NZF
$1.406 Volume
1%
National
$1.325 Volume
1%
National + NZF
$1.821 Volume
1%
National + Maori
$1.400 Volume
1%
National + ACT + Maori
$1.409 Volume
1%
National + NZF + Maori
$1.324 Volume
1%
National + ACT + NZF + Maori
$1.506 Volume
1%
National + Labour
$1.277 Volume
1%

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
The current front-runner is National + ACT + NZF at 39%, ahead of Labour + Green at 26%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
Traders currently imply a 39% chance for National + ACT + NZF. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 7 Nov 2026 (74 giorni rimanenti). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
Total traded volume on this market is $51.610, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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