Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

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$51,6 mil Volume
07/11/2026 00:00
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National + ACT + NZF
$7,8 mil Volume
41%
Labour + Green
$4,9 mil Volume
28%
Labour + Green + Maori
$5 mil Volume
16%
Other
$12,3 mil Volume
10%
Labour
$1,5 mil Volume
3%
Labour + Green + NZF
$1,6 mil Volume
1%
National + ACT
$2,2 mil Volume
1%
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF
$2 mil Volume
1%
Labour + Maori
$1,5 mil Volume
1%
Labour + NZF
$1,4 mil Volume
1%
Labour + Maori + NZF
$1,4 mil Volume
1%
National
$1,3 mil Volume
1%
National + NZF
$1,8 mil Volume
1%
National + Maori
$1,4 mil Volume
1%
National + ACT + Maori
$1,4 mil Volume
1%
National + NZF + Maori
$1,3 mil Volume
1%
National + ACT + NZF + Maori
$1,5 mil Volume
1%
National + Labour
$1,3 mil Volume
1%

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
The current front-runner is National + ACT + NZF at 39%, ahead of Labour + Green at 26%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
Traders currently imply a 39% chance for National + ACT + NZF. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 7 Nov 2026 (74 dias restantes). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
Total traded volume on this market is $51,6 mil, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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