Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

$496.490 Volume
04/10/2026 00:00
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Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$226.230 Volume
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$51.894 Volume
92%
Renan Santos
$17.786 Volume
5%
Romeu Zema
$986 Volume
3%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$34.654 Volume
2%
Ronaldo Caiado
$698 Volume
2%
Tarcisio de Frietas
$83.119 Volume
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$15.629 Volume
1%
Fernando Haddad
$65.495 Volume
1%

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
The current front-runner is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 97%, ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro at 92%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Traders currently imply a 97% chance for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Oct 2026 (41 giorni rimanenti). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Total traded volume on this market is $496.490, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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