Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

$496,6K Volume
04/10/2026 00:00
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Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$226,2K Volume
97%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$52K Volume
92%
Renan Santos
$17,8K Volume
5%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$34,7K Volume
2%
Romeu Zema
$986 Volume
3%
Ronaldo Caiado
$698 Volume
2%
Tarcisio de Frietas
$83,1K Volume
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$15,6K Volume
1%
Fernando Haddad
$65,5K Volume
1%

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
The current front-runner is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 97%, ahead of Flavio Bolsonaro at 92%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Traders currently imply a 97% chance for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Oct 2026 (Nog 40 dagen). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?
Total traded volume on this market is $496,6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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