Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Cut–Pause–Pause
$116 Volume
1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
$177 Volume
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$504 Volume
68%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$131 Volume
1%
Other
$148 Volume
6%
Cut–Pause–Cut
$122 Volume
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$136 Volume
1%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$163 Volume
1%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$122 Volume
1%
Similar Markets
Fed Decision in June?
No change
Yes 98¢No 2¢
25 bps decrease
Yes 1¢No 99¢
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
Yes 66¢No 34¢
1 (25 bps)
Yes 20¢No 80¢
Fed Decision in July?
No change
Yes 93¢No 7¢
25 bps increase
Yes 5¢No 95¢
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)
Pause–Pause–Pause
Yes 98¢No 2¢
Pause–Pause–Cut
Yes 2¢No 98¢
Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting
Yes 28¢No 72¢
October Meeting
Yes 23¢No 77¢
Fed Decision in September?
No change
Yes 72¢No 28¢
25 bps increase
Yes 16¢No 84¢
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↓ 0%
Yes 5¢No 95¢
