🏁 予測市場: AI Race
20 アクティブなマーケットWho wins the AI race - OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI

Which company has best AI model end of June?
はい 85¢いいえ 15¢
はい 11¢いいえ 89¢

Largest Company end of June?
はい 94¢いいえ 6¢
はい 3¢いいえ 97¢

Best AI model on June 13?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
はい 82¢いいえ 18¢
Other
はい 18¢いいえ 82¢

GPT-5.6 released by...?
July 31
はい 97¢いいえ 3¢
June 30
はい 87¢いいえ 13¢

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
はい 91¢いいえ 9¢
はい 6¢いいえ 94¢

OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
はい 48¢いいえ 52¢
September 30, 2026
はい 11¢いいえ 89¢

Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026
はい 90¢いいえ 10¢
October 31, 2026
はい 69¢いいえ 31¢

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
はい 4¢いいえ 96¢
はい 1¢いいえ 99¢

When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 22–June 28
はい 57¢いいえ 43¢
June 15–June 21
はい 22¢いいえ 78¢

Which company has second best AI model end of June?
はい 88¢いいえ 12¢
はい 7¢いいえ 93¢

Which company has best AI model end of July?
はい 81¢いいえ 19¢
はい 9¢いいえ 91¢

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
はい 61¢いいえ 39¢
はい 37¢いいえ 63¢

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
はい 55¢いいえ 45¢
750B–1T
はい 13¢いいえ 87¢

New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?
June 30
はい 91¢いいえ 9¢
June 19
はい 18¢いいえ 82¢

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$900B
はい 89¢いいえ 11¢
↑$1.0T
はい 80¢いいえ 20¢

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
はい 99¢いいえ 1¢
600B+
はい 1¢いいえ 99¢

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
はい 79¢いいえ 21¢
はい 16¢いいえ 84¢

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.1T
はい 94¢いいえ 6¢
↑$1.25T
はい 89¢いいえ 11¢