🏁 予測市場: AI Race

20 アクティブなマーケット

Who wins the AI race - OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI

Which company has best AI model end of June?
Which company has best AI model end of June?
AnthropicAnthropic
はい 85¢いいえ 15¢
GoogleGoogle
はい 11¢いいえ 89¢
Largest Company end of June?
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIANVIDIA
はい 94¢いいえ 6¢
AlphabetAlphabet
はい 3¢いいえ 97¢
Best AI model on June 13?
Best AI model on June 13?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
はい 82¢いいえ 18¢
Other
はい 18¢いいえ 82¢
GPT-5.6 released by...?
GPT-5.6 released by...?
July 31
はい 97¢いいえ 3¢
June 30
はい 87¢いいえ 13¢
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
AnthropicAnthropic
はい 91¢いいえ 9¢
GoogleGoogle
はい 6¢いいえ 94¢
OpenAI IPO by...?
OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
はい 48¢いいえ 52¢
September 30, 2026
はい 11¢いいえ 89¢
Anthropic IPO by __?
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026
はい 90¢いいえ 10¢
October 31, 2026
はい 69¢いいえ 31¢
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
OpenAIOpenAI
はい 4¢いいえ 96¢
xAIxAI
はい 1¢いいえ 99¢
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 22–June 28
はい 57¢いいえ 43¢
June 15–June 21
はい 22¢いいえ 78¢
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
AnthropicAnthropic
はい 88¢いいえ 12¢
GoogleGoogle
はい 7¢いいえ 93¢
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Which company has best AI model end of July?
AnthropicAnthropic
はい 81¢いいえ 19¢
GoogleGoogle
はい 9¢いいえ 91¢
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
45%+45%+
はい 61¢いいえ 39¢
50%+50%+
はい 37¢いいえ 63¢
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026
はい 55¢いいえ 45¢
750B–1T
はい 13¢いいえ 87¢
New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?
New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?
June 30
はい 91¢いいえ 9¢
June 19
はい 18¢いいえ 82¢
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$900B
はい 89¢いいえ 11¢
↑$1.0T
はい 80¢いいえ 20¢
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
はい 99¢いいえ 1¢
600B+
はい 1¢いいえ 99¢
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX
はい 79¢いいえ 21¢
AnthropicAnthropic
はい 16¢いいえ 84¢
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.1T
はい 94¢いいえ 6¢
↑$1.25T
はい 89¢いいえ 11¢

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