Politics · Finance · Treasuries

Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?

$10.4K Volume
30/04/2026 00:00
Yes Probability
2%
No Probability
98%
Trading Volume
$10.4K
Time Remaining
7 days left
↓4.25%
$124 Volume
16%
↓4.15%
$631 Volume
8%
↑4.45%
$3.9K Volume
5%
↓4.10%
$17 Volume
5%
↑4.40%
$2.1K Volume
7%
↓4.20%
6%
↑4.50%
$383 Volume
2%
↓4.00%
$1.1K Volume
2%
↑4.60%
$1.7K Volume
2%
1 Options resolved

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value for any day in April 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve as soon as the Department of the Treasury publishes a Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10-year U.S. Treasury equal to or above the listed value, or once the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate has been published for the final relevant day in April, and the listed value has not been reached.

Revisions made prior to the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from counting. Revisions or corrections made after the publication of the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the final relevant date in April will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the Treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" at https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=202604.

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