This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trump
· Geopolitics
· Iran
US forces enter Iran by..?
December 31 Resolved
$22M Volume
99%
99.9¢
0.1¢
April 30 Resolved
$269M Volume
99%
99.9¢
0.1¢
January 31 Resolved
$571.8K Volume
1%
0.3¢
99.7¢
March 1 Resolved
$160.3K Volume
1%
0.2¢
99.8¢
March 31 Resolved
$73.9M Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
February 28 Resolved
$420.9K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
March 3 Resolved
$921.4K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
March 14 Resolved
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
March 7 Resolved
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢