This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), reasoning models of the o-series family, or similar variants will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
AI
· sam altman
· OpenAI
GPT-5.5 released by...?
April 8
50%
Resolved 8
April 15
$179.5K Volume
No
April 23
$537.5K Volume
Yes
April 17
$58.6K Volume
No
April 19
$7.4K Volume
No
April 21
$39.3K Volume
No
April 22
$62.3K Volume
No
April 30
$339.4K Volume
Yes
June 30
$323.1K Volume
Yes
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the release of OpenAI's GPT-5.5 currently shows a remarkable 99.1% probability, reflecting strong confidence among traders that the advanced AI model will be publicly available by the specified date. With a trading volume of $970K, this market highlights the growing anticipation and significance of GPT-5.5 in the AI landscape, as its release could further enhance capabilities in natural language processing and machine learning applications. Understanding these dynamics is crucial for stakeholders in technology and investment sectors, as the implications of GPT-5.5's launch could reshape industry standards and competitive strategies.