Greta · Thunberg · Gaza

Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?

$1.2K Volume
31/05/2026 00:00
Yes Probability
26%
No Probability
74%
Trading Volume
$1.2K
Time Remaining
38 days left
Yes
$1.2K Volume
24%

About This Market

A flotilla organized by the Global Sumud Flotilla, among others, set sail from Spain on April 15, 2026 to deliver aid to Gaza (see: https://apnews.com/article/global-sumud-flotilla-gaza-aid-spain-israel-94b09412fdcb1a0fd6a6e0c981479539).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any vessel which is part of this flotilla enters Israel’s territorial sea by May 31, 2026 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, Israel’s territorial sea includes the territorial waters off the coast of Gaza that are controlled by Israel.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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