この市場は、2026年6月2日から6月21日まで開催予定のIEM Cologne 2026トーナメントの勝者に応じて解決されます。
このトーナメントがキャンセルされた場合、2026年7月1日午後11時59分ET以降に延期された場合、またはこの期間内に勝者が宣言されなかった場合、この市場は「その他」に解決されます。
複数のチームが勝者と宣言された場合、この市場はリストされたチーム名がアルファベット順で最初に来るチームに有利に解決されます。
この市場の解決ソースは、トーナメント主催者ESLの公式情報（https://pro.eslgaming.com/）となります。ただし、信頼できる報道のコンセンサス（例: Liquipedia https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne）も使用される場合があります。
What the Market Asks
This prediction market centers on identifying the team that will claim victory at the IEM Cologne Major 2026. Participants trade shares that reflect the probability of each eligible squad lifting the trophy at the conclusion of the event. The market remains open until the final match concludes and an official winner is declared.
Background and Significance
IEM Cologne stands as one of the premier events in the Counter-Strike calendar, drawing top international squads to compete on German soil. As a Valve-sponsored Major, the tournament carries substantial prestige within the esports ecosystem and influences team rankings, sponsorship opportunities, and player legacies. The Cologne edition historically features a large prize pool and a demanding bracket that tests consistency across multiple stages. Traders view this market as a barometer of shifting competitive hierarchies because roster moves, tactical adaptations, and regional performances all converge at this single point in the season.
Key Factors Traders Watch
- Current form of leading organizations, including results from preceding international events and regional qualifiers.
- Roster stability and recent changes in starting lineups or coaching staff.
- Map pool proficiency, especially on the active duty pool that will be used during the Major.
- Head-to-head records between potential finalists and historical performance at European LAN events.
- Meta developments within the game, such as new utility usage or economy strategies that may favor certain playstyles.
- Travel and adaptation considerations for non-European teams arriving for the long-format tournament.
Market participants continuously reassess probabilities as new tournament data emerges, adjusting positions ahead of each elimination stage.
How Resolution Works
The market settles once the tournament organizers announce the champion following the grand final. Only the team that wins the decisive series receives a positive resolution; all other participants resolve to zero. Official results published by the event administrators serve as the sole source of truth, eliminating ambiguity around ties or disputes. Traders who correctly anticipate the winner realize gains based on the final share price at settlement.
