Green Party
$48 Kiasi
78%
Labour Party
$476 Kiasi
49%
National Party
$572 Kiasi
72%
ACT New Zealand
$8 Kiasi
80%
New Zealand First Party
$7 Kiasi
75%
Te Pāti Māori
$50 Kiasi
78%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
The current front-runner is Green Party at 54%, ahead of ACT New Zealand at 46%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
Traders currently imply a 54% chance for Green Party. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 7 Nov 2026 (Siku 74 zimebaki). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Masoko Yanayofanana
35-3935%NdiyoHapana
40-4424%NdiyoHapana
Chris Hipkins51%NdiyoHapana
Christopher Luxon44%NdiyoHapana
New Zealand First Party62%NdiyoHapana
Green Party37%NdiyoHapana
Labour Party57%NdiyoHapana
National Party43%NdiyoHapanaNational Party54%NdiyoHapanaLabour Party41%NdiyoHapana
30-3439%NdiyoHapana35-3929%NdiyoHapana
78-80%37%NdiyoHapana76-78%28%NdiyoHapanaLabour56%
National44%
