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Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair?

The current front-runner is Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5% at 94%, ahead of Kevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5% at 5%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair?

Traders currently imply a 94% chance for Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (Siku 129 zimebaki). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair?

Total traded volume on this market is $160.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.