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53 aktiva marknader

AI, rymden och ny teknik

Bekräftar USA att utomjordingar finns senast...?Bekräftar USA att utomjordingar finns senast...?
31 december2%JaNej
31 oktober1%JaNej
$78,9 mn Volym 01/01
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
30 november 202699%JaNej
15 november 202699%JaNej
$87,9 tn Volym 01/07
Största börsnoteringen efter börsvärde 2026?Största börsnoteringen efter börsvärde 2026?
SpaceXSpaceX93%JaNej
AnthropicAnthropic6%JaNej
$8 mn Volym 02/01
Antal mässlingsfall i USA 2026?Antal mässlingsfall i USA 2026?
↑5.5k99%JaNej
↑6k97%JaNej
$6,7 tn Volym 01/01
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?
31 december 202814%JaNej
31 december 202710%JaNej
$56,2 tn Volym 01/01
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
31 december 202765%JaNej
30 september 202741%JaNej
$279,1 tn Volym 01/01
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by...?
31 december77%
30 juni82%
$40,6 tn Volym 01/07
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?
31 december 202818%JaNej
31 december 202711%JaNej
$502,7 tn Volym 01/01
Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by...?
31 december2%
30 juni15%
$49,1 tn Volym 01/07
Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?Precipitation in Hong Kong in November?
95mm+49%JaNej
60-95mm31%JaNej
$2 tn Volym 08/02
Presenterar OpenAI ännu en lösning på ett millennieproblem senast...?Presenterar OpenAI ännu en lösning på ett millennieproblem senast...?
31 december 202747%JaNej
31 december 20268%JaNej
$1,3 mn Volym 01/01
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
6%
chans
Ja Nej
$598 Volym 01/01
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
087%JaNej
17%JaNej
$490,5 tn Volym 01/01
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
140-15956%JaNej
120-13937%JaNej
$507 Volym 01/01
Measles cases in U.S. by November 30?Measles cases in U.S. by November 30?
5600+98%JaNej
5800+82%JaNej
$6,7 tn Volym 01/12
Sprids lungpesten från Ryssland till utlandet? Sprids lungpesten från Ryssland till utlandet?
2%
chans
Ja Nej
$137,4 tn Volym 01/01
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
22%
chans
Ja Nej
$362 Volym 01/01
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<573%JaNej
5-616%JaNej
$276 Volym 01/01
November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
1st hottest98%JaNej
2nd hottest2%JaNej
$12,8 tn Volym 29/12
Precipitation in NYC in November?Precipitation in NYC in November?
4.25-5.75"39%JaNej
3.5-4.25"35%JaNej
$2 tn Volym 08/02
Pestpandemi 2026? Pestpandemi 2026?
1%
chans
Ja Nej
$535,4 tn Volym 01/01
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
No solution by Dec 31, 202732%JaNej
Yang-Mills26%JaNej
$340,8 tn Volym 01/01
Ny pandemi 2026? Ny pandemi 2026?
2%
chans
Ja Nej
$1,7 tn Volym 01/01
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
Ramsey Number R(5,5)24%JaNej
Beal's Conjecture16%JaNej
$67,7 tn Volym 01/01
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
30 augusti30 augusti50%JaNej
31 december31 december36%JaNej
$17,8 tn Volym 01/01
Human moon landing in 2026? Human moon landing in 2026?
1%
chans
Ja Nej
$2 mn Volym 01/01
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
SpaceX76%
OpenAI24%
$13,3 tn Volym 01/01
Precipitation in London in November?Precipitation in London in November?
30-40mm17%JaNej
100mm+17%JaNej
$2 tn Volym 08/02
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?
73%
chans
Ja Nej
$362 Volym 01/01
How many US births in 2026?How many US births in 2026?
3.56M–3.59M41%JaNej
3.53M–3.56M38%JaNej
$24,7 tn Volym 01/05
Precipitation in Seattle in November?Precipitation in Seattle in November?
3-4.5"28%JaNej
5.75-6.75"25%JaNej
$2 tn Volym 08/02
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
2%
chans
Ja Nej
$21 Volym 01/01
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?
OpenAI47%
Anthropic53%
$4,6 tn Volym 01/01
Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?
31 december 20262%
31 december 202710%
$51,6 tn Volym 01/01
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
35 to 4990%JaNej
50 or more7%JaNej
$112,8 tn Volym 01/04
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
31 december 202766%JaNej
31 december 202615%JaNej
$4 Volym 01/01
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
31 december 202727%JaNej
31 december 20269%JaNej
$85,5 tn Volym 01/01
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?
31 december 202727%JaNej
30 juni 202715%JaNej
$1,2 mn Volym 01/01
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
2%
chans
Ja Nej
$599,1 tn Volym 01/01
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027? Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
2%
chans
Ja Nej
$199,4 tn Volym 01/01
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?87%
31 mars 202779%
$112,4 tn Volym 01/07
Plague declared public health emergency by...?Plague declared public health emergency by...?
30 november1%
31 december1%
$33,2 tn Volym 01/01
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?
31 oktober 20261%
31 december 20268%
$24,1 tn Volym 01/01
Plague case in US by December 31? Plague case in US by December 31?
2%
chans
Ja Nej
$18 tn Volym 01/01
Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31? Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?
4%
chans
Ja Nej
$12,5 tn Volym 01/01
US Birth Rate in 2026? (Per 1000 Women)US Birth Rate in 2026? (Per 1000 Women)
51.0+91%JaNej
51.5+76%JaNej
$9,3 tn Volym 01/05
Precipitation in Seoul in November?Precipitation in Seoul in November?
30-45mm36%JaNej
85mm+28%JaNej
$2 tn Volym 08/02
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026? OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
6%
chans
Ja Nej
$1,2 tn Volym 01/01
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