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Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by?

Ndio is priced at 8% and Hapana at 92%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by?

Traders currently imply a 8% chance for Ndio. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (Siku 130 zimebaki). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by?

Total traded volume on this market is $940.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.