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🤖 Predikční trhy: AI

324 aktivních trhů

AI prediction markets — OpenAI, Claude, Gemini and more

Grok (Web) Outage by...?Grok (Web) Outage by...?
31. října21%
30. listopadu25%
$5,9 tis. Objem 01/12
Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026? Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?
33%
šance
Ano Ne
$5,9 tis. Objem 01/01
Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?
$15+60%AnoNe
$20+52%AnoNe
$5,6 tis. Objem 01/07
Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?
30. listopadu12%
31. prosince49%
$5,1 tis. Objem 01/01
OpenAI acquired before 2027? OpenAI acquired before 2027?
2%
šance
Ano Ne
$4,9 tis. Objem 01/01
Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?
$42B81%AnoNe
$44B68%AnoNe
$641 Objem 23/12
Dario Amodei arrested by December 31? Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?
1%
šance
Ano Ne
$4,7 tis. Objem 01/01
Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?
31. prosince40%
31. ledna56%
$4,5 tis. Objem 31/01
ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?
31. října1%
31. prosince22%
$4 tis. Objem 01/01
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
31. října4%
30. listopadu74%
$3,9 tis. Objem 01/12
Will Jensen Huang join Anthropic or OpenAI by December 31, 2026? Will Jensen Huang join Anthropic or OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
3%
šance
Ano Ne
$3,7 tis. Objem 01/01
Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027? Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?
2%
šance
Ano Ne
$3,6 tis. Objem 01/01
Another Codex outage in 2026? Another Codex outage in 2026?
93%
šance
Ano Ne
$3,1 tis. Objem 01/01
Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?
$17.0B71%AnoNe
$16.0B65%AnoNe
$641 Objem 23/12
FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026? FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?
8%
šance
Ano Ne
$2,9 tis. Objem 01/01
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
OpenAI48%
Anthropic52%
$2,6 tis. Objem 01/01
Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?Next Kimi K model (3.2+) released by...?
31. prosince15%
28. února47%
$2,4 tis. Objem 01/03
Which exchange will Anthropic list on?Which exchange will Anthropic list on?
NASDAQ98%AnoNe
NYSE2%AnoNe
$2,2 tis. Objem 01/01
Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?
31. prosince32%
28. února81%
$2,1 tis. Objem 01/03
Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?
$20B87%AnoNe
$21B82%AnoNe
$1,6 tis. Objem 10/12
Next GPT Terra (6.2+) released by...?Next GPT Terra (6.2+) released by...?
31. prosince38%
28. února41%
$1,6 tis. Objem 01/03
Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026? Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026?
16%
šance
Ano Ne
$1,6 tis. Objem 01/01
Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027? Supreme Court accepts AI copyright case before 2027?
10%
šance
Ano Ne
$1,4 tis. Objem 01/01
Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?
30. listopadu11%
31. prosince22%
$1,2 tis. Objem 01/01
New MAI thinking model released by...?New MAI thinking model released by...?
30. září18%
31. prosince65%
$1,2 tis. Objem 01/01
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026? OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
6%
šance
Ano Ne
$1,2 tis. Objem 01/01
Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above __?Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above __?
$9.25B96%AnoNe
$10.25B49%AnoNe
$1,2 tis. Objem 01/12
AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026? AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?
6%
šance
Ano Ne
$959 Objem 31/12
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026? DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?
9%
šance
Ano Ne
$824 Objem 01/01
Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?
31. ledna40%
31. března44%
$811 Objem 01/04
Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026? Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?
1%
šance
Ano Ne
$608 Objem 01/01
Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by...?Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by...?
30. listopadu42%
31. ledna50%
$589 Objem 01/02
Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
Anthropic68%
OpenAI32%
$388 Objem 01/01
Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO? Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?
3%
šance
Ano Ne
$327 Objem 01/01
Next GPT Image Model (2.7+) released by...?Next GPT Image Model (2.7+) released by...?
31. prosince20%
31. ledna26%
$306 Objem 01/02
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026? OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
8%
šance
Ano Ne
$101 Objem 01/01
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