🗳 Predikční trhy: Volby do Kongresu USA 2026
US midterms 2026 - House, Senate and governor races
Všechny trhy k volbám v polovině funkčního období
Kontrola nad Kongresem 17
Chuck Schumer92%AnoNe
Chris Van Hollen7%AnoNe
115-120m70%AnoNe
120-125m30%AnoNe
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4499%AnoNe
451%AnoNe
Democrats 14-16%94%AnoNe
Democrats 12-14%5%AnoNe
175-17990%AnoNe
170-17410%AnoNe
Dem sweep; No $3.50 gas67%AnoNe
Dem sweep; Gas hits $3.5033%AnoNe
Hakeem Jeffries96%AnoNe
Jim Jordan3%AnoNe
Katherine Clark98%AnoNe
Tom Emmer1%AnoNe
594%AnoNe
45%AnoNe
4899%AnoNe
49+1%AnoNe
Dem sweep; No recession76%AnoNe
Dem sweep; Recession22%AnoNe
Dem sweep; No $4.50 gas88%AnoNe
Dem sweep; Gas hits $4.5011%AnoNe
Dem sweep; No US stake69%AnoNe
Dem sweep; US stake27%AnoNe
Dem sweep; Dem wins 202862%AnoNe
Dem sweep; Dem loses 202834%AnoNe
198%AnoNe
01%AnoNe
Dem sweep; No Phase II88%AnoNe
Dem sweep; Phase II deal11%AnoNe
Dem sweep; China not #174%AnoNe
Dem sweep; China #1 AI26%AnoNe
Senát 55
Mary Peltola (D)99%AnoNe
Sen. Dan Sullivan (R)1%AnoNe
Žádný99%AnoNe
AK1%AnoNe
Mississippi98%AnoNe
Michigan11%AnoNe
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems64%AnoNe
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems17%AnoNe
22. listopadu99%AnoNe
30. listopadu99%AnoNe
Louisiana99%AnoNe
Florida (Special)99%AnoNe
900K-1M51%AnoNe
1M-1.1M34%AnoNe
350K-400K76%AnoNe
400K-450K11%AnoNe
750K-800K74%AnoNe
700K-750K15%AnoNe
1.9M-2M48%AnoNe
1.8M-1.9M40%AnoNe
450K-500K92%AnoNe
500K-550K2%AnoNe
1.6M-1.7M95%AnoNe
1.7M-1.8M2%AnoNe
Roger Marshall (R)76%AnoNe
Adam Hamilton (D)10%AnoNe
Mike Rogers (R)98%AnoNe
Abdul El-Sayed (D)7%AnoNe
1.4M-1.5M65%AnoNe
1.6M-1.7M6%AnoNe
2.55M-2.7M54%AnoNe
2.7M-2.85M39%AnoNe
4.1M-4.3M94%AnoNe
3.7M-3.9M5%AnoNe
4.65M-4.8M79%AnoNe
4.8M-4.95M16%AnoNe
4.6M-4.8M49%AnoNe
4.8M-5M47%AnoNe
825K-900K73%AnoNe
900K-975K16%AnoNe
9.6M-10M79%AnoNe
10M-10.4M11%AnoNe
Mississippi99%AnoNe
Montana5%AnoNe
3.5M-3.75M92%AnoNe
3.25M-3.5M22%AnoNe
1.35M-1.4M77%AnoNe
1.25M-1.3M8%AnoNe
8.25M-8.5M99%AnoNe
8.75M-9M5%AnoNe
290K-305K54%AnoNe
260K-275K31%AnoNe
2M-2.2M53%AnoNe
2.2M-2.4M3%AnoNe
700K-750K64%AnoNe
750K-800K9%AnoNe
2.5M-2.65M46%AnoNe
2.65M-2.8M45%AnoNe
680K-720K93%AnoNe
720K+3%AnoNe
4M-4.2M77%AnoNe
4.2M-4.4M18%AnoNe
1.4M-1.5M94%AnoNe
1.6M-1.7M4%AnoNe
4M-4.25M64%AnoNe
4.5M-4.75M13%AnoNe
Texas99%AnoNe
Michigan1%AnoNe2.75M-2.9M95%AnoNe
2.9M-3.05M5%AnoNe
1.1M-1.2M89%AnoNe
1M-1.1M21%AnoNe
700K-750K51%AnoNe
750K-800K26%AnoNe
600K-650K95%AnoNe
<500K3%AnoNe
450K-500K70%AnoNe
500K-550K25%AnoNe
3M-3.2M46%AnoNe
2.8M-3M46%AnoNe
Republican Party97%AnoNe
Democratic Party1%AnoNe
Kansas93%AnoNe
Iowa4%AnoNe
Minnesota3%
Mississippi97%
4%+99%AnoNe
8%+99%AnoNe
South Dakota97%
New Mexico3%
Alaska99%
Texas1%
Michigan85%
New Hampshire15%
Georgia5%
Kansas95%
Nebraska59%
Texas41%
Florida99%
South Carolina1%
Kansas97%
Nebraska3%
Maine81%
Texas19%
Montana91%
New Jersey9%
Iowa98%
Maine2%
3. listopadu50%
4. listopadu99%
Guvernér 16
5M-5.5M91%AnoNe
5.5M-6M25%AnoNe
13M-13.5M46%AnoNe
13.5M-14M44%AnoNe
Kansas97%AnoNe
Oklahoma4%AnoNe
2.45M-2.6M56%AnoNe
2.6M-2.75M43%AnoNe
370K-400K78%AnoNe
310K-340K13%AnoNe
Kathy Hochul (D)95%AnoNe
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%AnoNe
1.05M-1.125M48%AnoNe
1.125M-1.2M30%AnoNe
2.15M-2.3M57%AnoNe
2.45M+40%AnoNe
2.6M-2.8M89%AnoNe
2.2M-2.4M4%AnoNe
1.2M-1.3M49%AnoNe
1.3M-1.4M48%AnoNe
6M-6.5M45%AnoNe
6.5M-7M29%AnoNe
New York96%
Pennsylvania4%
Georgia23%
Wisconsin77%
Pennsylvania55%
Illinois45%
California49%
New York51%
Sněmovna reprezentantů 9
Republican Party99%AnoNe
Democratic Party3%AnoNe
Jay Obernolte (R)99%AnoNe
Tessa Lynn Hodge (D)1%AnoNe
Republican Party93%AnoNe
Democratic Party6%AnoNe
Chuck Hubbard (D)99%AnoNe
Virginia Foxx (R)1%AnoNe
Victoria Broderick (D)98%AnoNe
Scott DesJarlais (R)1%AnoNeRepublican Party94%AnoNe
Democratic Party6%AnoNe
Jake Johnson (D)96%AnoNe
Brad Finstad (R)3%AnoNe
David Rouzer (R)99%AnoNe
Kimberly Hardy (D)1%AnoNe
Pat Harrigan (R)99%AnoNe
Ashley Bell (D)1%AnoNeRozdíl vítězství 457
Michigan SenateEl-Sayed 6-9%99.2%Texas SenateTalarico 12%+99%Alaska Senate (Final Round)Peltola 3-6%99%Mississippi SenateColom 0.6-0.9%95%OH-14Republican 5-10%88%CO-2Democrat 50-55%97%OH-12Republican 15-20%98%CA-16Democrat 55-60%51%MA-6Democrat 25-30%98%Idaho GovernorRepublican 20-25%80%TX-11Republican 15-20%77%MA-8Democrat 40-45%98%WI-8Republican 6-9%59%IA-4Republican 15-20%95%VA-5Republican 0-5%99%OH-13Democrat 20-25%98%MA-9Democrat 20-25%98%CO-8Democrat 12-15%80%NE-1Republican 0-3%49%AZ-7Democrat 40-45%97%TX-32Republican 0-3%53%CA-45Democrat 20-25%50%Iowa SenateTurek 3-6%92%Illinois SenateDemocrat 25-30%77%Georgia Senate (First Round)Ossoff 18%+93%NC-8Republican 0-3%51%CT-2Democrat 20-25%58%NJ-7Democrat 15-18%72%IA-3Democrat 6-9%96%NE-3Republican 50-55%94%Ohio GovernorActon 6-9%58%CA-36Democrat 45-50%89%AZ-8Republican 0-3%98%FL-25Democrat 3-6%89%MA-4Democrat 30-35%98%CA-49Democrat 15-20%75%AL-1Republican 10-20%98%AZ-6Democrat 6-9%98%CA-25Democrat 25%+92%TX-5Republican 0-5%98%CA-31Democrat 30%+80%NY-18Democrat 20-25%52%OH-15Democrat 6%+99%TX-4Republican 10-15%97%NY-5Democrat 60-65%48%Rhode Island SenateDemocrat 30%+96%Massachusetts SenateDemocrat 30-35%95%TN-5Republican 3-6%98%Montana SenateRepublican 9-12%97%Georgia Governor (First Round)Bottoms 6-9%65%FL-13Republican 0-3%99%NY-17Democrat 3-6%48%MD-5Democrat 40-45%50%CA-19Democrat 40-45%47%OH-2Republican 25-30%50%NC-3Democrat 0-3%56%OR-4Democrat 10-15%56%California GovernorBecerra 30-35%82%Alaska Senate (First Round)Peltola 3-6%99%MI-10Democrat 6-9%98%CA-39Democrat 30%+48%NY-14Democrat 50-55%46%CA-6Democrat 25%+48%MI-13Democrat 55-60%48%OR-2Republican 20-25%91%CA-21Democrat 25%+89%TX-22Republican 0-5%59%NJ-9Democrat 30%+67%NC-9Democrat 0-3%57%MT-1Democrat 3-6%96%Kentucky SenateRepublican 10-15%97%FL-6Republican 15-20%98%MN-2Democrat 10-15%98%Ohio SenateBrown 3-6%93%CA-18Democrat 20-25%46%IA-2Democrat 3-6%95%IL-4Democrat 55%+49%AL-5Republican 0-10%97%MD-2Democrat 30-35%41%Alabama GovernorRepublican 0-5%98%NJ-11Democrat 20-25%52%CA-15Democrat 55-60%70%Nebraska SenateRepublican 3-6%89%FL-24Democrat 55%+93%WA-7Democrat 75-80%60%Florida GovernorDonalds 0-3%99.6%Colorado GovernorDemocrat 25-30%98%Wisconsin GovernorCrowley 6-9%78%CA-20Republican 20-25%46%RI-2Democrat 20-25%97%Arizona GovernorHobbs 12-15%95%CO-6Democrat 30-35%67%WA-4Republican 5-10%89%Arkansas SenateRepublican 10-15%92%NJ-6Democrat 35-40%50%PA-2Democrat 60%+98%CA-2Democrat 30-35%76%MO-3Republican 5-10%57%Tennessee GovernorRepublican 0-5%99%Massachusetts GovernorDemocrat 25-30%95%ME-1Democrat 30-35%95%MO-8Republican 35-40%50%WI-6Republican 5-10%94%PA-4Democrat 30-35%69%OH-3Democrat 50-55%53%NE-2Democrat 15-20%55%Maine Senate (First Round)Jackson 3-6%80%AR-4Republican 30-35%56%NY-15Democrat 65-70%49%NJ-10Democrat 65-70%50%VA-2Democrat 6-9%61%TX-31Republican 5-10%61%AL-4Republican 45-50%65%NY-16Democrat 50-55%53%WV-2Republican 15-20%56%CA-3Democrat 15-20%49%Nebraska GovernorRepublican 5-10%98%TX-35Democrat 9-12%93%New York GovernorDemocrat 20-25%47%IL-9Democrat 50-55%83%NY-8Democrat 60-65%38%NC-2Democrat 50-55%99.2%MI-11Democrat 20-25%90%CA-9Democrat 30%+88%GA-8Republican 20-25%91%IL-14Democrat 25-30%60%KY-4Republican 5-15%95%HI-1Democrat 45-50%51%CO-3Republican 0-3%87%NJ-1Democrat 40-45%52%MI-12Democrat 55-60%48%IL-13Democrat 25-30%60%WA-1Democrat 30-35%48%Florida SenateMoody 0-3%95%AL-2Democrat 5%+99.3%VA-9Republican 30-35%64%Maryland GovernorDemocrat 30-35%44%NY-7Democrat 65-70%50%NC-1Democrat 3-6%74%CO-1Democrat 60-65%72%MO-4Republican 25-30%62%CA-44Democrat 55%+92%NJ-3Democrat 25-30%98%PA-12Democrat 30-35%97%IL-8Democrat 25-30%49%VA-3Democrat 45-50%53%Iowa GovernorSand 9-12%92%FL-14Democrat 3-6%53%New Jersey SenateDemocrat 21%+96%NC-7Republican 0-3%95%ND-ALRepublican 20-25%85%NC-12Democrat 60-65%51%Colorado SenateHickenlooper 25-30%65%PA-15Republican 25-30%84%CA-33Democrat 30%+52%NY-21Republican 0-3%47%WA-6Democrat 20-25%47%CA-41Democrat 30%+95%AL-7Democrat 35-40%95%NV-3Democrat 20-25%95%NC-13Democrat 0-5%55%IL-1Democrat 40-45%50%VA-11Democrat 45-50%47%PA-5Democrat 40-45%51%Nevada GovernorFord 6-9%97%MI-3Democrat 15-20%50%NY-4Democrat 10-15%94%WA-2Democrat 30-35%86%CA-43Democrat 65%+86%WI-4Democrat 60-65%97%VA-10Democrat 25-30%49%AR-1Republican 30-35%54%MS-3Republican 15-20%97%CA-28Democrat 35-40%78%MI-5Republican 20-25%56%CT-5Democrat 15-20%84%CA-52Democrat 40%+50%NY-12Democrat 55-60%47%NJ-12Democrat 40-45%98%IL-11Democrat 25-30%93%MA-3Democrat 35-40%98%North Carolina SenateCooper 18%+97%Texas GovernorHinojosa 6%+91%TX-28Democrat 21%+98%MO-5Democrat 3%+99%Kansas SenateHamilton Wins99%Oregon GovernorKotek 9-12%53%TX-23Democrat 6-9%96%Kansas GovernorHolscher 0-3%98%Mississippi Senate (First Round)Democrat Wins98%NY-1Republican 0-3%50%OH-7Democrat 9-12%53%Rhode Island GovernorDemocrat 25-30%59%Minnesota SenateDemocrat 10-15%95%OR-6Democrat 15-20%50%IN-4Republican 0-10%95%TX-15Democrat 12%+99%NJ-4Republican 15-20%98%Maine Senate (Final Round)Jackson 3-6%49%NM-2Democrat 15-20%94%GA-1Republican 0-3%50%MI-2Republican 20-25%47%UT-3Republican 20-25%69%MO-1Democrat 65-70%98%NY-13Democrat 75-80%50%Hawaii GovernorDemocrat 45%+50%TX-16Democrat 40-45%52%Louisiana SenateRepublican 0-5%99%FL-16Republican 3-6%99.7%FL-20Democrat 50-55%95%OH-9Democrat 3-6%75%PA-13Republican 30-35%80%New Hampshire SenatePappas 12-15%99%UT-4Republican 5-15%58%MS-1Republican 15-20%97%CT-4Democrat 30-35%97%IN-8Republican 5-15%74%Michigan GovernorBenson 9-12%95%TX-27Republican 0-5%52%FL-17Republican 15-20%95%New Hampshire GovernorAyotte 3-6%87%FL-2Republican 0-5%72%AR-3Republican 10-15%52%AZ-2Republican 0-3%55%KY-2Republican 25-30%98%FL-18Republican 0-5%97%TX-30Democrat 65-70%71%IN-5Democrat 3%+47%Arkansas GovernorRepublican 15-20%50%KS-3Democrat 20-25%77%NC-6Democrat 0-3%52%IL-12Republican 35-40%71%TX-7Democrat 40-45%99.2%GA-13Democrat 55-60%91%IN-2Republican 5-10%47%MI-1Republican 5-10%50%HI-2Democrat 30-35%52%NY-3Democrat 10-15%47%MN-3Democrat 25-30%98%OH-4Republican 30-35%96%VA-1Democrat 0-3%47%WI-1Democrat 3-6%92%PA-8Democrat 6-9%46%GA-2Democrat 20-25%99.1%MO-2Democrat 3-6%50%MD-4Democrat 80-85%50%NY-20Democrat 25-30%98%Connecticut GovernorDemocrat 15-20%93%TX-25Republican 5-10%92%FL-11Republican 6-9%95%MN-1Democrat 0-3%92%FL-8Republican 5-10%96%PA-7Democrat 12-15%49%PA-10Democrat 9-12%98%MO-6Republican 15-20%46%CO-4Democrat 0-3%72%FL-27Republican 0-3%97%MD-7Democrat 70-75%50%NC-5Democrat 0-3%53%TX-36Republican 5-10%98%TX-37Democrat 65-70%97%MN-5Democrat 60-65%50%AL-6Republican 10-20%92%KY-6Democrat 6%+98%MS-2Democrat 35-40%98%NY-22Democrat 15-20%89%TX-24Republican 6-9%95%OH-1Democrat 12-15%51%UT-2Republican 5-15%98%Pennsylvania GovernorDemocrat 20-25%52%MI-9Republican 25-30%97%CT-1Democrat 35-40%57%PA-14Republican 5-15%71%KS-1Republican 20-25%49%OR-1Democrat 40-45%49%WI-7Republican 10-15%98%PA-16Republican 5-10%98%IL-15Republican 30-35%64%TX-13Republican 30-35%53%TX-34Democrat 12%+97%NY-23Republican 20-25%49%TX-3Republican 5-10%52%TX-1Republican 35-40%68%NJ-5Democrat 25-30%98%MI-6Democrat 35-40%99%KS-4Republican 5-10%69%IL-16Republican 15-20%97%FL-1Republican 25-30%97%IA-1Democrat 9-12%51%Minnesota GovernorDemocrat 10-15%97%OR-3Democrat 55-60%57%RI-1Democrat 40-45%99.6%NJ-2Democrat 3-6%51%Maine GovernorDemocrat 15-20%51%WI-3Democrat 6-9%98%GA-9Republican 15-20%96%Oregon SenateDemocrat 15-20%47%MD-3Democrat 35-40%57%GA-6Democrat 60-65%98%TX-12Republican 5-10%56%NY-24Republican 20-25%59%CO-5Democrat 3-6%85%West Virginia SenateRepublican 20-25%52%FL-19Republican 20-25%94%AZ-1Democrat 6-9%93%TX-20Democrat 55%+53%TX-10Republican 5-10%54%UT-1Democrat 40%+86%MD-1Republican 3-6%49%TN-6Republican 0-10%55%GA-5Democrat 80-85%55%TX-33Democrat 55-60%98%NC-4Democrat 60%+71%NV-4Democrat 20-25%97%IL-2Democrat 45-50%47%NY-25Democrat 25-30%51%IN-6Republican 5-15%97%FL-4Republican 0-3%98%MO-7Republican 25-30%50%TX-18Democrat 70-75%98%TX-9Democrat 6%+95%TX-26Republican 10-15%89%MI-8Democrat 10-15%97%MD-8Democrat 65-70%77%TX-21Republican 5-10%51%MI-7Democrat 3-6%48%KS-2Republican 3-6%49%IL-10Democrat 40-45%48%FL-28Republican 5-10%95%TX-2Republican 0-5%99.2%FL-15Republican 5-10%51%Tennessee SenateRepublican 10-15%94%IL-5Democrat 50-55%48%OH-11Democrat 65-70%97%ID-1Republican 35-40%60%Virginia SenateDemocrat 21%+95%Alabama SenateRepublican 5-10%61%Idaho SenateRepublican 20-25%99.2%FL-3Republican 10-15%95%TX-19Republican 35-40%92%FL-23Democrat 30-35%95%New Mexico SenateDemocrat 21%+95%IN-7Democrat 55-60%65%MN-7Republican 25-30%54%GA-14Republican 15-20%99%OH-5Republican 10-15%97%IL-3Democrat 50-55%46%PA-9Republican 20-25%98%CT-3Democrat 25-30%63%FL-5Republican 10-15%95%MT-2Republican 25-30%70%NY-9Democrat 65%+48%NC-10Republican 0-5%97%AZ-4Democrat 25-30%97%NV-2Democrat 3-6%50%NY-11Republican 10-15%47%MS-4Republican 20-25%98%New Mexico GovernorDemocrat 10-15%68%IN-9Republican 10-15%65%OH-10Democrat 0-3%53%KY-5Republican 45-50%52%TX-6Republican 0-5%71%AL-3Republican 25-30%98%NH-2Democrat 20-25%47%TN-2Republican 15-20%49%NY-19Democrat 15-18%50%TX-14Republican 5-10%97%WI-5Republican 15-20%54%NC-11Democrat 12%+66%WV-1Republican 15-20%52%IN-1Democrat 25-30%86%NY-6Democrat 35-40%45%ME-2Republican 0-3%94%VA-4Democrat 45%+97%AZ-9Republican 15-20%48%GA-7Republican 10-15%96%FL-21Republican 5-10%55%ID-2Republican 10-15%50%KY-1Republican 35-40%48%CA-38Democrat 30%+51%NM-3Democrat 20-25%97%NC-14Democrat 0-5%95%NY-26Democrat 30-35%51%MN-8Republican 6-9%57%TN-1Republican 35-40%50%PA-1Democrat 3-6%51%IL-7Democrat 75-80%50%PA-17Democrat 25-30%70%KY-3Democrat 40-45%46%TN-7Republican 0-5%97%OH-8Republican 0-5%64%TX-29Democrat 60%+54%VA-7Democrat 20-25%97%TN-3Republican 15-20%53%AZ-5Republican 0-5%99%MN-6Republican 10-15%95%GA-3Republican 15-20%98%NH-1Democrat 10-15%87%MI-4Democrat 0-3%92%OH-6Republican 20-25%78%GA-11Republican 10-15%67%IL-6Democrat 25-30%51%TX-17Republican 5-10%98%Illinois GovernorDemocrat 20-25%50%CO-7Democrat 20-25%73%IL-17Democrat 10-15%47%FL-7Republican 0-3%54%NY-2Republican 3-6%50%PA-6Democrat 25-30%54%NV-1Democrat 20-25%94%MN-4Democrat 45-50%98%GA-12Republican 0-5%55%NY-10Democrat 65-70%85%AR-2Republican 0-5%98%GA-4Democrat 65-70%50%PA-11Republican 10-15%90%OR-5Democrat 10-15%49%GA-10Republican 5-10%98%TX-8Republican 5-10%50%MD-6Democrat 20-25%48%NM-1Democrat 25-30%97%IN-3Republican 0-10%52%FL-22Democrat 3-6%84%FL-9Democrat Wins99%TN-4Democrat Wins88%CA-8Democrat 45-50%88%Kansas Senate (3-Point Brackets)Hamilton 3-6%82%WA-5Republican 0-5%78%CA-46Democrat 35%+93%CA-23Republican 0-5%89%FL-12Republican 5-10%96%FL-26Republican 0-5%99.6%CA-48Democrat 18-21%72%WA-10Democrat 25-30%62%TX-38Republican 0-5%50%WA-3Democrat 6-9%49%CA-5Republican 10-15%76%CA-32Democrat 30-35%48%CA-51Democrat 30-35%87%CA-30Democrat 55-60%49%CA-42Democrat 20-25%61%CA-50Democrat 25-30%78%CA-17Democrat 40-45%47%CA-13Democrat 20-25%46%CA-27Democrat 25-30%50%CA-35Democrat 30%+48%VA-8Democrat 60-65%50%CA-22Democrat 6-9%49%WA-9Democrat 50-55%50%CA-24Democrat 30-35%59%VA-6Republican 25-30%50%CA-1Democrat 15-20%77%CA-10Democrat 45-50%46%TN-8Republican 5-10%48%WA-8Democrat 20-25%48%CA-47Democrat 15-20%48%CA-26Democrat 25-30%64%
Další trhy k volbám v polovině funkčního období 16
097%AnoNe
11%AnoNe
0-3 points behind92%AnoNe
3-6 points behind7%AnoNe
30. listopadu4%AnoNe
31. prosince3%AnoNe
Texas99%AnoNe
Ohio99%AnoNe
Tina Kotek: OR-Gov88%AnoNe
Troy Jackson: ME-Sen20%AnoNe
0-3 points behind97%AnoNe
6-9 points behind2%AnoNe
0-3 points behind50%AnoNe
3-6 points behind28%AnoNe
Democrat99%AnoNeRepublican1%AnoNe
3-6 points behind63%AnoNe
6-9 points behind16%AnoNe
John Kulewicz (D)99%AnoNe
Keith Faber (R)1%AnoNe
Anita Earls (D)76%AnoNe
Sarah Stevens (R)1%AnoNe
31. srpna1%
31. prosince2%
6-9 points behind49%AnoNe
3-6 points behind49%AnoNe
