Ghiduri Polymarket
De la elemente de bază la strategii avansate: tot ce îți trebuie
Fundamente
5
ÎncepătorCe este Polymarket? Ghidul complet pentru începători (2026)
Ce este Polymarket și cum funcționează? Ghid pentru începători despre piețele de predicții: tranzacționare, comisioane, exemple reale, acces și siguranță.
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ÎncepătorÎnregistrare și autentificare pe Polymarket: cum îți creezi un cont (ghid 2026)
Înregistrare și autentificare pe Polymarket, pas cu pas: cont cu Google, email sau portofel, probleme de conectare, verificare și siguranța contului.
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ÎncepătorCum depui bani pe Polymarket: metode de plată, durate și soluții (ghid 2026)
Depunerile crypto pe Polymarket apar în câteva minute, iar minimul e de circa 2 USD pe majoritatea rețelelor. PayPal, card și Coinbase, comisioane și soluții.
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ÎncepătorCum retragi bani de pe Polymarket: durata retragerii și cea mai rapidă metodă (ghid 2026)
Retragerile crypto de pe Polymarket ajung în câteva minute; transferul în bancă prin Coinbase ACH durează câteva zile. Comisioane, minime, opțiuni instant.
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ÎncepătorPrima ta tranzacție pe Polymarket: ghid complet, pas cu pas (2026)
Prima tranzacție pe Polymarket, pas cu pas: citești pagina pieței, aprobi USDC, alegi ordin la piață sau limită, dimensionezi poziția și urmărești profitul.
Citește ghidulMecanica tranzacționării
6
ÎncepătorTypes of Markets on Polymarket - Complete Category & Structure Guide
Every Polymarket market type and category explained: binary, multi-outcome, NegRisk, conditional, 5-minute crypto and perps - and where your edge lives in 2026.
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AvansatThe Polymarket Order Book Guide - CLOB Mechanics for Traders
Master the Polymarket Central Limit Order Book: bid/ask, spread, depth, complementary books, order types (GTC/GTD/FOK/FAK), maker rebates, and execution.
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AvansatHow Polymarket Resolves Markets: UMA Optimistic Oracle, Disputes and Timing (2026 Guide)
How Polymarket resolves markets with the UMA optimistic oracle: who proposes the outcome, the 2-hour challenge, disputes, the UMA vote, timing and 50-50s.
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AvansatSelling Polymarket Positions - When & How to Exit Before Resolution
A practical playbook for exiting Polymarket positions: when to take profit, when to cut losses, slippage, partial sells, opportunity cost, and the 60-70% rule.
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AvansatMulti-Outcome & NegRisk Markets on Polymarket (Complete 2026 Guide)
Master Polymarket multi-outcome and NegRisk markets in 2026: capital-efficiency math, field-fade strategy, sum-over-$1 arbitrage, and election-field tactics.
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ExpertUMA Disputes on Polymarket: The Complete 2026 Survival Guide
Everything Polymarket traders need to know about UMA Oracle disputes in 2026: how the process works, the $7M Ukraine attack, MOOV2 whitelist, and defense plays.
Citește ghidulPerps (contracte futures perpetue)
6
IntermediarPolymarket Perps: ghidul complet al contractelor futures perpetue (2026)
Află cum funcționează Polymarket Perps: 90 de piețe, efect de levier de până la 50x, comisioane, finanțare orară, țări restricționate, competiții și riscuri.
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ÎncepătorCum faci prima tranzacție pe Polymarket Perps: ghid pas cu pas (2026)
Cum tranzacționezi pe Polymarket Perps: activezi, depui pUSD (minimum 10 pUSD), alegi piața, setezi efectul de levier, folosești TP/SL, închizi și retragi.
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AvansatEfectul de levier pe Polymarket Perps: limite, marjă și calculul lichidării
Efectul de levier pe Polymarket Perps în noiembrie 2026: limite între 3x și 50x, marjă izolată sau cross, prețul de lichidare, comisionul de 0,5% și ADL.
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IntermediarRata de finanțare și comisioanele pe Polymarket Perps: cât costă să ții o poziție
Află cum funcționează finanțarea pe Polymarket Perps: plăți orare, plafon de 4%, preț de marcare vs. oracol, comisioane și costuri pe zi, săptămână, lună.
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IntermediarPerp-ul Anthropic (ANT) pe Polymarket: ghidul pre-IPO
ANT este perp-ul pre-IPO Anthropic pe Polymarket: efect de levier de până la 10x, comisioane la jumătate, fără acțiuni. Explicăm prețul, lichidarea și IPO-ul.
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AvansatBot de tranzacționare pe API-ul Polymarket Perps: TypeScript și Python
Construiește un bot Polymarket Perps pe API-ul real: SDK TypeScript și Python, chei proxy, WebSocket, TP/SL, efect de levier plafonat și oprire de urgență.
Citește ghidulStrategie și psihologie
9
AvansatProbability Thinking - The #1 Skill of Profitable Polymarket Traders
The probability framework separating the 7.6% profitable Polymarket traders from the 84.1% who lose: EV math, base rates, Bayesian updating, and calibration.
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AvansatPosition Sizing: The Kelly Criterion for Polymarket (2026 Playbook)
Master position sizing on Polymarket: the Kelly Criterion, quarter-Kelly rule, worked examples, bankroll-management tables, and the rules that prevent ruin.
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ÎncepătorEvery Risk of Trading Polymarket - The Honest 2026 Guide
The unvarnished truth about Polymarket risk in 2026: 84.1% of 2.5M wallets lose money. Market, liquidity, oracle, contract, regulatory and psychological risk.
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ÎncepătorWhy 84% of Polymarket Traders Lose Money (And How to Join the 7.6%)
Why 84.1% of Polymarket wallets lose money - and how to avoid it. 18 data-backed mistakes that kill bankrolls, concrete fixes, and the habits of winners.
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AvansatThe Psychology of Prediction Market Trading - Master the Mental Game
Master the psychology of Polymarket trading: the seven cognitive biases that make 84.1% lose, how to beat tilt and FOMO, and why revenge trading destroys edge.
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ExpertStrategii de tranzacționare Polymarket (ghid 2026): ce funcționează, de ce ai nevoie și care sunt riscurile
Strategii Polymarket cu avantaj documentat, cerințe și riscuri: convergența spre soluționare, știri, market making, arbitraj, acoperire și dimensionare.
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ExpertAdvanced Multi-Market Strategies for Polymarket (2026)
Advanced Polymarket strategies for 2026: cross-category correlation, portfolio hedging, calendar spreads, NegRisk basis trades, and Polymarket-Kalshi arb.
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ExpertPolymarket Liquidity Rewards: The Complete Market-Maker Playbook
Complete 2026 guide to Polymarket liquidity rewards: the $5M+ monthly pool, two-sided market-making strategy, scoring formula, and earnings by capital tier.
Citește ghidulWhale Tracking on Polymarket: Follow the Smart Money
Complete whale-tracking playbook for Polymarket in 2026: top wallets, tracking tools, on-chain clustering, insider-detection signals, Theo's $85M case study.
Citește ghidulPiețe pe subiecte
10
AvansatTrading Political Markets on Polymarket: The Complete 2026 Playbook
Master Polymarket political markets in 2026: election trading, polling analysis, base rates, longshot fades, cross-platform arbitrage, and resolution rules.
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AvansatHow to Trade Crypto Markets on Polymarket (Complete 2026 Guide)
Master Polymarket crypto markets in 2026: 260+ contracts, 5-minute BTC binaries, monthly price targets, 10x perpetual futures, and Chainlink resolution.
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AvansatHow to Trade Sports Markets on Polymarket (Complete 2026 Guide)
Master Polymarket sports markets in 2026: 3,128+ markets, the $729M World Cup, UFC partnership, live trading, line shopping, and liquidity-reward strategies.
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AvansatHow to Trade Economic Markets on Polymarket (Fed, CPI, GDP, 2026)
Complete 2026 guide to Polymarket economic markets: 157+ markets covering Fed rates (28), inflation (19), tariffs (189), recession, and GDP. Nowcasting tools.
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IntermediarHow to Trade Esports Markets on Polymarket (2026 Guide)
Trade esports on Polymarket in 2026: Dota 2 The International, League of Legends (LPL/LCK/Worlds), Counter-Strike 2 match and map markets - how they work…
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AvansatHow to Trade Geopolitical Markets on Polymarket (Complete 2026 Guide)
Master Polymarket geopolitical trading in 2026: 673 markets, $280M Iran ceasefire, Ukraine peace deals, insider-trading risks, and six strategies.
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IntermediarPolymarket Split, Merge & Convert Explained (2026)
Split, Merge & Convert on Polymarket: mint or redeem a Yes/No pair for USDC, and convert No baskets in NegRisk markets into Yes plus freed collateral.
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AvansatHow to Trade Science, Tech & AI Markets on Polymarket
Complete 2026 guide to Polymarket's niche markets: AI milestones, SpaceX launches, drug approvals, weather, mention markets. The highest-edge category on site.
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AvansatHow to Trade Weather & Climate Markets on Polymarket
Trade Polymarket weather markets: 490 contracts on hurricanes, temperature records and ENSO cycles, GFS and ECMWF cadence, NHC advisories, and lockup sizing.
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AvansatHow to Trade Pop-Culture Markets on Polymarket (Awards & Celebrity)
Trade Polymarket pop-culture markets: 387 contracts across Oscars, Grammy, Billboard and celebrity events, the SAG precursor signal, and the awards calendar.
Citește ghidulReferințe și instrumente
49
ÎncepătorPolymarket vs Kalshi: The Complete 2026 Comparison
Polymarket vs Kalshi in 2026: fees, volumes, markets, regulation, US access, and resolution mechanisms compared head-to-head with concrete trading examples.
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ÎncepătorGhid Polymarket pe țări: unde este disponibil și cum îl accesezi
Accesul la Polymarket în 2026, țară cu țară: lista de așteptare US DCM (QCEX), disponibilitatea în UE, UK, LATAM, Asia, Orientul Mijlociu și țările blocate.
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AvansatPolymarket Tax Guide - How to Report Gains and Losses (2026)
Complete 2026 tax guide for Polymarket: IRS classification (capital gains, gambling, Section 1256), Form 8949 examples, UK/EU/Canada treatment, record-keeping.
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ExpertPolymarket API Guide - Build Your First Trading Bot in 2026
Build your first Polymarket trading bot: the 3 APIs, L2 auth, py-clob-client, placing and cancelling orders, WebSockets, and a reference bot architecture.
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ÎncepătorPolymarket in Italy: Blocked by ADM Since July 2026
polymarket.com is blocked in Italy by the ADM (Customs & Monopolies Agency) since July 2026. Timeline, the TAR Lazio appeal, and what it means for user funds.
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ÎncepătorPolymarket in South Korea: Blocked by the KCSC Since August 2026
In August 2026 South Korea's KCSC ordered ISPs to block Polymarket, ruling it illegal gambling. The timeline, the fines users face, and what you can still do.
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ÎncepătorBest Polymarket Tools and Resources (2026) - Trackers, Analytics, Bots
Curated guide to the best Polymarket tools in 2026: whale trackers, Dune dashboards, Telegram bots, developer SDKs, tax software, data sources by category.
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ÎncepătorAplicația Polymarket: iOS, Android și web mobil (2026)
Are Polymarket o aplicație? Da: aplicații native iOS și Android în 2026, plus versiunea web mobilă completă. Cum le descarci și tranzacționezi de pe telefon.
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ÎncepătorPolymarket Glossary - Every Term Explained (2026 Edition)
Comprehensive Polymarket glossary: 120+ prediction market terms defined in plain English. CLOB, UMA, NegRisk, MOOV2, DVM, Chainlink, Kelly Criterion, perps.
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AvansatPolymarket pUSD Migration Guide: USDC.e to pUSD (April 2026)
Complete migration guide for Polymarket's USDC.e to pUSD switch on April 28, 2026: wallet steps, API changes, contract addresses, and bot updates with code.
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ÎncepătorAbout Polymarket: What It Is & Who's Behind It (2026)
What is Polymarket and who is behind it? The largest prediction market by volume, founded in 2020 by Shayne Coplan, on Polygon with USDC.
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ÎncepătorIs Polymarket Legit & Safe? An Honest 2026 Answer
Short answer: yes, Polymarket is legit - a real prediction-market platform that has operated since 2020 and settled billions of dollars in volume…
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ÎncepătorPolymarket Stocks: Can You Trade Stocks on Polymarket?
If you searched "Polymarket stocks," here's the honest answer up front: Polymarket is not a stock exchange.
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ÎncepătorPolymarket Promo Code & Invite Code (2026): The Honest Truth
Those '$50 Polymarket bonus' codes aren't free - someone profits from you. Here is who, and the honest way to sign up.
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ÎncepătorPolymarket Maker Rebates: Earn a Share of Taker Fees (2026)
How Polymarket maker rebates work: makers pay 0% and earn back 20-25% of the taker fee when their order fills, paid daily in pUSD.
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ÎncepătorPolymarket Holding Rewards: 3.25% Yield for Holding (2026)
Polymarket pays a 3.25% annualized Holding Reward just for holding shares in eligible long-dated markets like the 2028 US election.
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IntermediarPolymarket Event-Driven Trading: News Theses, Dominoes & Hedging
How to trade Polymarket around news: build a thesis, map the domino chain a single event sets off across correlated markets, and hedge it.
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IntermediarHow to Build a Polymarket Trading Bot - 32-Chapter Series
The complete 32-chapter guide to building a Polymarket trading bot in 2026: Python, Rust, Node.js stacks, strategy patterns, paper trading, and going live.
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IntermediarShould You Build a Polymarket Bot? Reality Check (2026)
Honest 2026 reality check before building a Polymarket bot: profitability data, time and capital needs, when bots beat manual trading, and when they don't.
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IntermediarPolymarket Bot Prerequisites: Skills, Time, Capital
Before you write Polymarket bot code: the Python or Node.js skill required, web3 basics, weekly time commitment, and the capital floor for live trading.
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IntermediarPolymarket Bot Stack: Python, Rust, or Node.js?
Choose your Polymarket bot stack: Python (py-clob-client), Node.js (clob-client-v2), or Rust (build on ethers-rs). Pros, cons, latency, and code samples.
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IntermediarPolymarket VPS Hosting: We Tested Several, Here is the Best
We tested several VPS hosts for our own Polymarket bots; for price, value and performance we recommend TradingVPS. Latency tests, comparison, region choice.
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IntermediarPolygon RPC for Polymarket Bots: Alchemy, QuickNode, Ankr
Polygon RPC provider comparison for Polymarket bots in 2026: Alchemy, QuickNode, Ankr, public and self-hosted. Latency, rate limits, and free tiers.
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IntermediarPolymarket Bot Wallets, Auth, and Key Management
Polymarket bot auth and wallet setup: proxy wallets vs EOA, API key generation via SDK, sigType 2 for Gnosis Safe, key storage, and Magic-to-Privy migration.
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IntermediarPolymarket Gamma API: Events, Markets, Tags, Pagination
Polymarket Gamma API deep dive: /events and /markets endpoints, pagination, tag IDs, filtering by 24h volume, rate limits, and Python and Node code samples.
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IntermediarPolymarket CLOB Orderbook API: REST + WebSocket
Polymarket CLOB API for bots: REST order book snapshots, WebSocket real-time updates, parsing bids/asks, computing mid-price and depth, with code samples.
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IntermediarPolymarket On-Chain Data: Polygon, UMA, CTF Contracts
Read Polymarket on-chain data directly: USDC/pUSD balances, CTF outcome supply, UMA Optimistic Oracle proposed/disputed events, and Polygon logs - with code.
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AvansatPolymarket FOK vs FAK vs GTC vs GTD: Order Types Explained
Polymarket FOK vs FAK vs GTC vs GTD: when each order type fills, rests or cancels, post-only, GTD expiry, SDK code and the errors each one returns.
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AvansatPolymarket NegRisk Markets: Execution Mechanics
How NegRisk multi-outcome markets work on Polymarket: sum-to-1 mechanics, the negRisk flag in CLOB orders, why YES legs are not interchangeable, best practices.
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AvansatPolymarket Phantom Fills: Detection, Idempotence, Retries
Detect Polymarket phantom fills (orders that look filled but aren't): idempotent retries, distinguishing status=matched from rested-on-book, surviving failures.
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AvansatPolymarket Market Making: Spread Capture & Maker Rebates
Market making on Polymarket: quote both sides, capture the spread, and stack maker rebates and liquidity rewards on top.
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AvansatPolymarket News Arbitrage: Beating the Market on Headlines
News arbitrage on Polymarket: beating the market on headlines, source feeds (RSS/Twitter/AP), latency budgets, false-positive filters, and when the edge dies.
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AvansatPolymarket Sports Bots: NFL, NBA, Soccer Microstructure
Sports microstructure bots on Polymarket: in-game edge, scoreline-driven mispricing, NBA and tennis tags, live data sources, and high-frequency execution.
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AvansatPolymarket Statistical Arbitrage & Cross-Market Trades
Statistical arbitrage on Polymarket: cross-market correlated pairs, Polymarket-vs-Kalshi spreads, mean reversion, and how to size stat-arb positions.
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AvansatOrder Book Imbalance Bot for Polymarket
Use Polymarket order book imbalance as a short-term signal: bid-ask volume ratio, microprice, signal half-life, and when imbalance beats random execution.
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AvansatUMA Dispute Prediction: Bot the Resolution Edge
UMA dispute bots on Polymarket: detect Optimistic Oracle proposals, predict dispute likelihood, exploit price asymmetry, avoid disputed-market spirals.
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AvansatPolymarket Liquidity Rewards: Maker Farming Playbook
How Polymarket liquidity rewards really work: get paid daily for resting orders near the midpoint, whether or not they fill.
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AvansatPolymarket Whale Tracker & Copy-Trading Bot
Track Polymarket whale wallets and copy-trade them: find profitable wallets via leaderboard and on-chain analysis, mirror trades with size/timing rules.
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IntermediarBinary Yes/No Bot: The Foundation Market Type
Polymarket binary Yes/No bot strategies: standard event contracts, 1x leverage cap, scaling via portfolio breadth, common mistakes, and a code skeleton.
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IntermediarNegRisk Multi-Outcome Bot Strategies
NegRisk multi-outcome bots on Polymarket: sum-to-1 mechanics, leg arbitrage when YES legs don't sum to 1, hedging across legs, and execution pitfalls.
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IntermediarPolymarket 5-Minute Crypto Markets: HFT Patterns
Polymarket 5-minute BTC/ETH up-down bot patterns: 288 expirations a day, latency-critical execution, edge sources, why most retail bots lose, code skeleton.
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IntermediarPolymarket NFL, NBA, Soccer Sports Bots
Sports market bots on Polymarket: NFL weekly games, NBA microstructure, soccer (Premier League, Bundesliga, UCL) and tennis - liquidity, edges, code patterns.
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IntermediarPolymarket Election & Politics Bot Strategies
Election and politics bots on Polymarket: 2024 lessons, 2028 setup, EU/UK markets, polling-vs-market spread, long-hold sizing, and code to monitor many markets.
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IntermediarPolymarket Weather & Climate Prediction Bot
Weather and climate bots on Polymarket: hurricane landfall, daily max temperature, El Nino/La Nina (ENSO), NOAA and NWS data, and turning weather into signals.
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IntermediarPolymarket Pop Culture: Awards, Music, Entertainment Bot
Pop-culture and entertainment bots on Polymarket: Oscars, Grammys, Met Gala, Taylor Swift metrics, box office, Netflix/Disney releases - data sources and edges.
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AvansatPolymarket Paper Trading Engine: The 30-Trade Gate
Build a Polymarket paper trading engine before going live: simulate orders on real prices, track P&L, and enforce the 30-trade gate before live capital.
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AvansatPolymarket Bot Risk Code: Caps, Kill Switches, Halts
Production-grade risk management for Polymarket bots: position caps, daily loss limits, halt sentinels, fill-rate watchdogs, and reconcile-on-restart.
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AvansatPolymarket Bot Going Live: Deposit, TP/SL, Monitoring
Going live with your Polymarket bot: first deposit, take-profit and stop-loss rules, Telegram/email alerts, reconciliation, and a first-week scaling plan.
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AvansatPolymarket Bot Mistakes & Real Postmortems
Real Polymarket bot mistakes and postmortems: phantom fills, sticky-fail dedup, NegRisk flag bug, premature go-live - with the commits that fixed each.
Citește ghidulToate ghidurile
12
ÎncepătorCum faci bani pe Polymarket (2026): toate metodele oneste
Cum faci bani pe Polymarket: toate metodele reale, explicate simplu - o opinie proprie, recompense de lichiditate, rambursări maker, randament de 4%, arbitraj.
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ÎncepătorPolymarket Liquidity Rewards Calculator (2026)
Free Polymarket liquidity rewards calculator. Enter your capital, the market's daily pool, and how crowded it is to estimate your daily and monthly reward…
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IntermediarPolymarket API Authentication & Wallets (Signature Types, EIP-712)
How Polymarket API authentication works in 2026: L1 EIP-712 to derive API keys, L2 HMAC request signing, signature types 0-3, the funder address, and the…
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IntermediarPolymarket API Errors: Not Enough Balance / Allowance, Deposit Wallet and Signer Fixes (2026 Guide)
Fix Polymarket CLOB API errors: not enough balance / allowance on sells, maker address not allowed (deposit wallet), signer vs API key, order_version_mismatch.
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IntermediarPolymarket API Recipes: Copy-Paste Snippets (V2, Python)
Copy-paste Polymarket API recipes (CLOB V2 / pUSD): token IDs from a slug, read the book and estimate slippage, place and cancel a limit order, track a…
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ÎncepătorVibe-Code a Polymarket Bot Safely (Claude Code, Cursor, 2026)
Build a Polymarket bot with Claude Code or Cursor without losing money: ground the agent on AGENTS.md, start read-only, keep keys in env, trade paper first.
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IntermediarPolymarket CLOB API: Endpoints, Orders, Fees, RFQ and Geoblock
Polymarket CLOB API guide: every endpoint, auth and order signing, placing orders in Python and TypeScript, fees, rate limits, the geoblock endpoint and RFQ.
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AvansatPolymarket 5-Minute Crypto Markets: the API mechanics (BTC up/down)
How to build bots for Polymarket's 5- and 15-minute crypto up/down markets (Bitcoin Up or Down): find them via Gamma, read the CLOB book, gate on…
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ÎncepătorPolymarket Data API v2: Positions, Trades, Activity and Leaderboard
Polymarket Data API v2 guide: positions, PnL, trades, activity, holders and leaderboard endpoints, no API key, cursor pagination and the v1 to v2 route map.
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ÎncepătorPolymarket Gamma API: Markets, Events & Token IDs (2026)
The Polymarket Gamma API (gamma-api.polymarket.com) is public and keyless: discover markets and events, search, and get a market's token IDs.
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ÎncepătorWhich Polymarket SDK to Use in 2026 (Python, Node, Rust)
Which Polymarket SDK should you use in 2026? py-clob-client-v2 (Python), @polymarket/clob-client-v2 (Node), the official Rust client, or the unified beta SDK.
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IntermediarPolymarket WebSocket API: Market and User Channels, RTDS and PolyBolt
Polymarket WebSocket guide: market and user channel URLs, the assets_ids subscribe message, PING heartbeat, RTDS activity, PolyBolt prices, Python and TS code.
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