This market will resolve to โYesโ if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before May 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to โNoโ.
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before May 1, 2026, by May 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this marketโs resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by May 1?
crude
petroleum
Trump
Economy
Iran
Yes Probability
2%
No Probability
98%
Trading Volume
$5.6K
Time Remaining
9 days left
375M
$105.6K Volume
2%
325M
$57.8K Volume
1%
350M
$91.7K Volume
1%
300M
$65.8K Volume
1%
250M
$28.8K Volume
1%
200M
$148.8K Volume
1%