This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., โHe/She isnโt smartโ). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., โHe/She isnโt being smart about this policyโ) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?
Trump
pope
Politics
Culture
Yes Probability
19%
No Probability
81%
Trading Volume
$15K
Time Remaining
8 days left
Yes
$15K Volume
18%