Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?

Volume $15K
Liquidity $4.1K
Ends 30/04/2026 00:00
Trump pope Politics Culture
Yes Probability
19%
No Probability
81%
Trading Volume
$15K
Time Remaining
8 days left
Yes
$15K Volume
18%

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks Pope Leo XIV personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the Pope weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., โ€œHe/She isnโ€™t smartโ€). Negative forms used in reference to the Pope's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., โ€œHe/She isnโ€™t being smart about this policyโ€) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Start Training ModePractice trading with $10,000 virtual money โ€” real Polymarket prices

Start Polymarket Training For Free

Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.