This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 11th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
Elections
Trump
Politics
Primaries
Yes Probability
50%
No Probability
50%
Trading Volume
$339.4K
Time Remaining
41 days left
Scott Wiener
$36.2K Volume
68%
Saikat Chakrabarti
$19.6K Volume
20%
Connie Chan
$202K Volume
4%
Jingchao Xiong
$39.9K Volume
1%
Darren Helton
$17.6K Volume
1%
David Ganezer
$10K Volume
1%
Cole Bettles
$14.1K Volume
1%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate N
50%
Other
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate H
50%