This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Tariffs
· Trade War
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Past
India
$69.1K Volume
18%
Canada$21.2K Volume
21%
Israel
$504 Volume
18%
Indonesia
$19.6K Volume
14%
Mexico$2.8K Volume
16%
Australia$6.2K Volume
14%
Taiwan
$33.7K Volume
15%
Vietnam
$6.7K Volume
16%
South Africa$472 Volume
16%
Argentina$22.6K Volume
15%
United Kingdom
$564 Volume
13%
Pakistan
$105.4K Volume
12%
Brazil$4.6K Volume
12%
European Union
$13.3K Volume
13%
Japan$17.2K Volume
12%
Russia
$2.2K Volume
8%
South Korea$59.4K Volume
10%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
The current front-runner is India at 18%, ahead of Canada at 18%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Traders currently imply a 18% chance for India. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Total traded volume on this market is $517, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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