This market will resolve according to the model family that has the second-highest total estimated inference revenue based on Anera's data published at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family for the specified week.
The weekโs values will be determined by summing the respective companies' estimated revenue figures for each day within the specified period. If data for all specified days is not released by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. Entries labeled โOtherโ will not be considered a model family for the purposes of this market. Revisions to published data will be considered only until all relevant data for the specified period has been released.
Model families will be ranked primarily by their total estimated inference revenue over the specified seven-day period, with alphabetical order of model family names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if two model families are exactly tied, โAnthropicโ would be ranked ahead of โOpenAIโ). This market will resolve based on the model family that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is data published by Anera Intelligence at https://anera.markets/intelligence/model-family. If the relevant data for the full period is not available by 7:00 PM ET on the second day following the final date, this market will resolve based on data available at that time. If this resolution source is unavailable, this market will remain open until the data becomes available and will resolve based on the first subsequent check.
Which AI company will have the second-highest revenue April 20-26?
Tech
Rewards 50, 4.5, 20
Anera
AI
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$4K
Time Remaining
4 days left
Google
$593 Volume
65%
OpenAI
$957 Volume
30%
Anthropic
$842 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$329 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$364 Volume
1%
xAI
$239 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$332 Volume
1%
Z.ai
$332 Volume
1%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company J
50%
About This Market
Resolution Source: anera.markets