This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 24, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Trump approval rating on April 24?
Trump
Rewards 50, 4.5, 20
approvals
Approval
Politics
Yes Probability
5%
No Probability
95%
Trading Volume
$12.1K
Time Remaining
3 days left
39.0โ39.4
$3.3K Volume
48%
38.5โ38.9
$4.4K Volume
17%
39.5โ39.9
$4.6K Volume
11%
<38.5
$2.6K Volume
4%
40.0โ40.4
$6.1K Volume
1%
40.5+
$1.4K Volume
1%