The 2026 United States Senate election in Texas is scheduled for November 3, 2026, to elect one member of the United States Senate to represent Texas. Party primary elections will be held on March 3, 2026, with runoff elections on May 26, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority in the primary.
This market will resolve based on the candidates who win the 2026 Democratic and Republican primary elections for United States Senator from Texas, including any required runoff elections.
This market may resolve as soon as the results of both parties' primaries are known definitively. If, for any reason, a candidate other than the primary election winner later becomes the official nominee, this will not affect this marketโs resolution.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed wins the respective primaries, or if the results of the election arenโt known by November 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to โOther.โ
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Texas Republican Party and the Texas Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Texas Senate Election Matchup
Texas Senate
Politics
Elections
Crockett
Cornyn
Yes Probability
60%
No Probability
40%
Trading Volume
$676.3K
Time Remaining
Resolved
Talarico & Paxton
$253.8K Volume
59%
Talarico & Cornyn
$181.5K Volume
38%
Crockett & Paxton
$104.9K Volume
1%
Talarico & Hunt
$22.6K Volume
1%
Crockett & Cornyn
$64.4K Volume
1%
Crockett & Hunt
$22.6K Volume
1%
Other
$26.5K Volume
1%