This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
The “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Business
· Tech
· Finance
SpaceX IPO: First Day Share Price Hits __?
↑$150
$93 Volume
58%
↑$200
$12 Volume
15%
↑$250
$85 Volume
6%
↑$300
5%
About This Market
Similar Markets

Largest Company end of June?
Yes 94¢No 6¢
Yes 4¢No 96¢

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
Yes 80¢No 20¢
1 (25 bps)
Yes 13¢No 87¢

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
2.0T-2.5T
Yes 49¢No 51¢
1.5T-2.0T
Yes 30¢No 70¢

OpenAI IPO by...?
December 31, 2026
Yes 72¢No 28¢
September 30, 2026
Yes 29¢No 71¢

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Yes 89¢No 11¢
Yes 82¢No 18¢

IPOs before 2027?
Yes 99¢No 1¢
Yes 90¢No 10¢

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Yes 63¢No 37¢
Yes 38¢No 62¢

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
70-80B
Yes 95¢No 5¢
80-90B
Yes 3¢No 97¢