This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 22?
Weather
New York City
Daily Temperature
Rewards Automation 200 4.5 50
Lowest temperature
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$66.1K
Time Remaining
1 days left
46-47°F
$7.2K Volume
98%
44-45°F
$6.6K Volume
1%
42-43°F
$3.8K Volume
1%
40-41°F
$1.6K Volume
1%
38-39°F
$3K Volume
1%
37°F or below
$1.7K Volume
1%
5 Options resolved
About This Market
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the lowest temperature in NYC on April 22, 2026, currently shows a probability of just 0.1%, reflecting traders' expectations of unusually mild weather for that date. With a trading volume of $71,000, this market highlights the interest in climate patterns and their potential economic impacts. Understanding these predictions can be crucial for sectors like agriculture and energy, where temperature fluctuations can significantly influence operational decisions.