This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays ยฐC.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9ยฐC). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 21?
Weather
Daily Temperature
Moscow
Rewards Automation 50 4.5 50
Highest temperature
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$136.6K
Time Remaining
Resolved
9ยฐC Resolved
$21.9K Volume
99%
99.9¢
0.1¢
4ยฐC Resolved
$5.8K Volume
1%
0.7¢
99.3¢
5ยฐC Resolved
$6.7K Volume
1%
0.6¢
99.4¢
10ยฐC Resolved
$7.6K Volume
1%
0.3¢
99.7¢
2ยฐC or below Resolved
$4.1K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
3ยฐC Resolved
$5.1K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
6ยฐC Resolved
$7K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
7ยฐC Resolved
$17.1K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
8ยฐC Resolved
$43.6K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
11ยฐC Resolved
$4.6K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
12ยฐC or higher Resolved
$8.2K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the highest temperature in Moscow on April 21, 2026, currently shows a low probability of 0.1%, reflecting traders' expectations of a cooler weather pattern for that date. With a trading volume of $120K, this market highlights the growing interest in weather forecasting as a speculative investment, allowing participants to bet on climatic events. Accurate predictions can have significant implications for various sectors, including agriculture, tourism, and energy management, making this market a valuable tool for understanding potential weather trends.