This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22?
Weather
Daily Temperature
Hong Kong
Rewards Automation 50 4.5 50
Highest temperature
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$510.7K
Time Remaining
1 days left
29°C
$17.1K Volume
97%
28°C
$91K Volume
2%
30°C
$18.4K Volume
1%
21°C or below
$9.8K Volume
1%
22°C
$4.5K Volume
1%
23°C
$4.5K Volume
1%
24°C
$8.3K Volume
1%
25°C
$24.5K Volume
1%
26°C
$23.8K Volume
1%
27°C
$50.4K Volume
1%
31°C or higher
$16.5K Volume
1%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 22, 2026, currently shows a low probability of 0.1%, reflecting cautious sentiment among traders regarding extreme weather forecasts. With a trading volume of $250,000, this market highlights the growing interest in climate-related events and their potential impacts on local economies and infrastructure. Understanding these probabilities can help stakeholders prepare for weather extremes and adapt strategies accordingly.