This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1ยฐC). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 21?
Weather
Daily Temperature
Hong Kong
Rewards Automation 50 4.5 50
Highest temperature
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$510.7K
Time Remaining
Resolved
28ยฐC Resolved
$119K Volume
99%
99.9¢
0.1¢
30ยฐC Resolved
$54.7K Volume
1%
0.7¢
99.3¢
31ยฐC or higher Resolved
$43.2K Volume
1%
0.6¢
99.4¢
29ยฐC Resolved
$85.7K Volume
1%
0.3¢
99.7¢
21ยฐC or below Resolved
$11.1K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
22ยฐC Resolved
$4.3K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
23ยฐC Resolved
$3.2K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
24ยฐC Resolved
$10.9K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
25ยฐC Resolved
$19.4K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
26ยฐC Resolved
$29.3K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
27ยฐC Resolved
$44.4K Volume
1%
0.1¢
99.9¢
About This Market
AI Analysis
The prediction market for the highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 21, 2026, currently shows a low probability of 0.1%, indicating minimal expectations for extreme weather on that date. With a trading volume of $171,000, participants are actively speculating on temperature ranges, reflecting broader concerns about climate variability in urban environments. Understanding these market dynamics is crucial for investors and stakeholders in sectors affected by weather patterns, such as agriculture and tourism.