A by-election for a seat from the Dublin Central constituency in the Dáil Éireann, the lower house of the Irish parliament, is expected to take place sometime in 2026 to fill the vacancy left by the resignation of Paschal Donohoe.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Dublin-Central By-Election Winner
World Elections
Elections
Ireland
Global Elections
Politics
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$1M
Time Remaining
253 days left
Daniel Ennis
$18.7K Volume
75%
Janice Boylan
$11K Volume
17%
Gillian Sherratt
$178.3K Volume
2%
Gerry Hutch
$497.1K Volume
1%
Ray McAdam
$27.5K Volume
1%
John Stephens
$151.8K Volume
1%
Malachy Steenson
$14.9K Volume
1%
Ian Noel Smyth
$7.5K Volume
1%
Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin
$48.9K Volume
1%
Séamas McGrattan
$5.9K Volume
1%
Mary Fitzpatrick
$38.4K Volume
1%
Janet Horner
$7K Volume
1%
Person H
50%
Person L
50%
Person M
50%
Person P
50%
Person S
50%
Person T
50%
Person W
50%
Person X
50%
Person Y
50%
Other
50%
Person D
50%
Person I
50%
Person O
50%
Person Q
50%
Person B
50%
Person F
50%
Person K
50%
Person N
50%
Person R
50%
Person U
50%
Person V
50%
Person Z
50%
Person A
50%
Person C
50%
Person E
50%
Person G
50%
Person J
50%
About This Market
AI Analysis
The Dublin-Central By-Election Winner prediction market currently shows a low probability of 0.2%, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding candidates ahead of the anticipated 2026 election to fill the vacancy in Dáil Éireann. With a trading volume of $1.0 million, this market highlights the significant public interest and potential implications for Irish politics, as the outcome could influence party dynamics and legislative priorities in the coming years. Understanding these market trends is essential for investors and political analysts monitoring the evolving landscape of Irish governance.