This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes "Claude Mythos" available to the general public.
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X) or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify towards this market’s resolution. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless named Mythos or officially identified by Anthropic as a “Mythos-class” model.
The qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Anthropic IPO
· AI
· Claude
Claude Mythos released on…?
On or prior to June 9
$23.3K Volume
74%
June 10
$8.8K Volume
15%
Not released by June 30
$3.1K Volume
6%
June 18
$946 Volume
1%
June 20
$721 Volume
1%
June 11
$3.8K Volume
1%
June 16
$1.6K Volume
1%
June 30
$902 Volume
1%
June 14
$1.7K Volume
1%
June 13
$1.4K Volume
1%
June 23
$702 Volume
1%
June 28
$1.6K Volume
1%
June 19
$802 Volume
1%
June 24
$612 Volume
1%
June 29
$822 Volume
1%
June 15
$1.5K Volume
1%
June 25
$642 Volume
1%
June 12
$2.3K Volume
1%
June 17
$519 Volume
1%
June 22
$632 Volume
1%
June 27
$669 Volume
1%
June 21
$741 Volume
1%
June 26
$899 Volume
1%
About This Market
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Claude Mythos released by…?
Yes 96¢No 4¢
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Claude 5 released by…?
September 30, 2026
Yes 99¢No 1¢
June 30, 2026
Yes 96¢No 4¢

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.1T
Yes 94¢No 6¢
↑$1.25T
Yes 87¢No 13¢

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Yes 58¢No 42¢
Yes 20¢No 80¢

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
Yes 99¢No 1¢
600B+
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
↑ $1.1T
Yes 26¢No 74¢
↑ $1.25T
Yes 11¢No 89¢