Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Apr 20 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 21 '26 12:00 ET candle.

If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

The prediction market for Bitcoin's price movement on April 21, 2026, currently shows an 82.0% probability that the price will rise, reflecting strong trader confidence amid a trading volume of $120,000. This market resolves based on the closing price of a specific Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT, making it a crucial indicator for investors looking to gauge short-term market sentiment and potential volatility in the cryptocurrency landscape. Understanding these dynamics is essential for making informed trading decisions in the ever-evolving crypto market.